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Cartel previsões e probabilidades

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Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

18%

$250K Vol.

$238K today

$34.6K Liq.

104

Ends em 28 dias

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

9%

June 30

$22.9K Vol.

$209K Liq.

4

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?

19%

$6.4K Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

1

Ends em 28 dias

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

100%

April 30

$800K Vol.

$159K today

$596K Liq.

Ends há 3 dias

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

79%

Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar

$82.2K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

2

Ends há 2 meses

US strike on Mexico by...?

US strike on Mexico by...?

13%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$17.6K Liq.

162

Ends em 8 meses

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

8%

$105K Vol.

$35.3K Liq.

9

Ends em 8 meses

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

8%

December 31, 2026

$186K Vol.

$44.6K Liq.

70

Ends em 8 meses

Counter-Strike: Crashers vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Crashers vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs

100%

paiN Academy

$20.2K Vol.

Ends há 17 dias

Counter-Strike: playersclub vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs

Counter-Strike: playersclub vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs

51%

Atreides

$763 Vol.

$250K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 5 horas

Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs

67%

Imperial

$1.7K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 15 horas

Counter-Strike: Despedidos vs Really Gang Esports (BO3) - FiReCONTER Group B

Counter-Strike: Despedidos vs Really Gang Esports (BO3) - FiReCONTER Group B

100%

Despedidos

$1.9K Vol.

Ends há 30 dias

Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stage

78%

Bounty Hunters Esports

$0 Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 13 horas

Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Game Hunters (BO3) - Circuit X Betboom Redemption Curitiba Group B

Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Game Hunters (BO3) - Circuit X Betboom Redemption Curitiba Group B

Game Hunters

$2.8K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 3 meses

Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Crashers (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Crashers (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs

100%

Vasco Esports

$1.8K Vol.

Ends há 18 dias

Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Sashi Academy (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Sashi Academy (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

100%

Rebels Gaming

$18.8K Vol.

Ends há 15 dias

Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group A

Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group A

100%

QUINTESSÊNCIA

$4.7K Vol.

Ends há 12 dias

Counter-Strike: Ølgod Efterskole vs SAW (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

Counter-Strike: Ølgod Efterskole vs SAW (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

100%

SAW

$8.8K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 23 dias

Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs Crashers (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage

Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs Crashers (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage

51%

R2 Esports Club

$5.2K Vol.

$204K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 7 horas

Counter-Strike: Brute vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group C

Counter-Strike: Brute vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group C

100%

Brute

$38.5K Vol.

Ends há 25 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Cartel.

Polymarket currently hosts 110 active markets for Cartel that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US strike on Mexico by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US strike on Mexico by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 13% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Cartel predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.