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Gaza previsões e probabilidades

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Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

34%

December 31

$634K Vol.

$23.4K Liq.

10

Ends há 6 meses

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

6%

June 30

$650K Vol.

$9.8K Liq.

Ends há 3 meses

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

14%

$51.4K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

1%

$105K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

15

Ends em 14 dias

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

6%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$33.9K Liq.

169

Ends em 15 dias

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

5%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$18.2K Liq.

978

Ends em 14 dias

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Yes

$1 Vol.

$141 Liq.

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

7%

June 30

$3M Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

354

Ends há 6 meses

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

57%

4

$7M Vol.

$246K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

2%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$35.5K Liq.

57

Ends há 16 dias

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

5%

$40.1K Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

1

Ends em 14 dias

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

32%

December 31

$405K Vol.

$184K Liq.

24

Ends em 7 meses

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

31%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$8.2K Liq.

135

Ends em 7 meses

What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit in June 2026?

What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit in June 2026?

44%

↑ $390

$57.9K Vol.

$36.7K Liq.

Ends em 16 dias

Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage

Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage

100%

eternal premium

$725 Vol.

Ends há 2 meses

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

30%

8

$2M Vol.

$117K Liq.

34

Ends em 7 meses

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

15%

$216K Vol.

$20.1K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Counter-Strike: ImmuNe vs WAZABI (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

Counter-Strike: ImmuNe vs WAZABI (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

100%

WAZABI

$25.5K Vol.

Ends há 2 meses

Rainbow Six Siege: Virtus.pro vs Geekay Esports (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Group Stage

Rainbow Six Siege: Virtus.pro vs Geekay Esports (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Group Stage

79%

Virtus.pro

$126 Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 7 horas

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?

17%

June 30

$866K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

352

Ends há 16 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Gaza.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for Gaza that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $24.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 57% chance to 4. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Gaza predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.