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PolíTica Internacional previsões e probabilidades

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Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

16%

$94 Vol.

$917 Liq.

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Qual partido ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares russas?

Qual partido ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares russas?

56%

Rússia Unida (ER)

$14M Vol.

$83.3K today

$996K Liq.

284

Ends em 3 meses

Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 2º lugar

Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 2º lugar

79%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$4M Vol.

$776K Liq.

47

Ends em 3 meses

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

96%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$155K Vol.

$553K Liq.

34

Ends em 10 meses

Mexico Legislative Election Winner

Mexico Legislative Election Winner

78%

Morena

$68.1K Vol.

$147K Liq.

Ends em 11 meses

Eleições Parlamentares Sachsen-Anhalt: 2º Lugar

Eleições Parlamentares Sachsen-Anhalt: 2º Lugar

91%

CDU

$69.3K Vol.

$256K Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

Eleições presidenciais no Brasil: Margem de Vitória

Eleições presidenciais no Brasil: Margem de Vitória

39%

Lula da Silva 5–10%

$269K Vol.

$260K Liq.

14

Ends em 3 meses

Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?

Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?

54%

PAN

$18.1K Vol.

$70.0K Liq.

Ends em 11 meses

Próxima Eleição para o Senado do Brasil: a maioria dos assentos conquistados

Próxima Eleição para o Senado do Brasil: a maioria dos assentos conquistados

88%

PL

$272K Vol.

$272K Liq.

11

Ends em 3 meses

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

32%

25-29

$40.1K Vol.

$133K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

O parlamento israelita dissolvido por...?

O parlamento israelita dissolvido por...?

82%

July 31

$2M Vol.

$42.6K Liq.

66

Ends há 5 dias

Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 3º lugar

Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 3º lugar

63%

Renan Santos

$414K Vol.

$500K Liq.

49

Ends em 3 meses

Eleições presidenciais na Zâmbia 1º turno: comparecimento às urnas

Eleições presidenciais na Zâmbia 1º turno: comparecimento às urnas

35%

60-70%

$23.3K Vol.

$83.4K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Eleição da Prefeitura da Grande Manchester: a maioria dos votos de 1ª preferência

Eleição da Prefeitura da Grande Manchester: a maioria dos votos de 1ª preferência

62%

Bev Craig

$38.2K Vol.

$218K Liq.

Ends em 26 dias

São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner

São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner

81%

Carlos Vila Nova

$8.7K Vol.

$69.9K Liq.

Ends em 15 dias

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

75%

Jordan Bardella

$26.2K Vol.

$352K Liq.

4

Ends em 10 meses

Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

36%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)

$11.3K Vol.

$136K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

66%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

$63.9K Vol.

$154K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

43%

National + ACT + NZF

$10.9K Vol.

$176K Liq.

6

Ends em 4 meses

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

38%

PSD

$141K Vol.

$65.4K Liq.

8

Ends em 6 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like PolíTica Internacional.

Polymarket currently hosts 54 active markets for PolíTica Internacional that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $21.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Qual partido ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares russas?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Qual partido ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares russas?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 56% chance to Rússia Unida (ER). These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on PolíTica Internacional predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.