Larry Page leads trader consensus for second-richest person by year-end with a 62.5% implied probability, buoyed by Alphabet’s sustained AI momentum in Gemini tools and Google Cloud that lifted his fortune near $280 billion in recent Forbes snapshots. Sergey Brin trails at 33% amid similar Alphabet exposure, while Michael Dell’s 32.5% reflects Dell Technologies’ AI-server demand surge. Jensen Huang and Steve Ballmer sit lower as semiconductor and legacy software valuations face more volatility. Elon Musk’s slim 5.5% chance underscores his commanding lead as the wealthiest, leaving little room for a sudden shift absent major market reversals. Year-end stock trajectories for these tech holdings remain the key swing factor before December 31.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВторой самый богатый человек на 31 декабря?
Второй самый богатый человек на 31 декабря?
Майкл Делл 65%
Стив Балмер 25.1%
Уоррен Баффет 22.4%
Бернар Арно 11.9%
$46,114 Объем
$46,114 Объем
30 мар. 2026 г.
Майкл Делл
65%
Стив Балмер
25%
Уоррен Баффет
22%
Бернар Арно
12%
Ларри Эллисон
10%
Джефф Безос
7%
Илон Маск
5%
Дженсен Хуанг
25%
Марк Цукерберг
10%
Ларри Пейдж
62%
Сергей Брин
33%
Майкл Делл 65%
Стив Балмер 25.1%
Уоррен Баффет 22.4%
Бернар Арно 11.9%
$46,114 Объем
$46,114 Объем
30 мар. 2026 г.
Майкл Делл
$0 Объем
65%
Стив Балмер
$1,193 Объем
25%
Уоррен Баффет
$1,887 Объем
22%
Бернар Арно
$905 Объем
12%
Ларри Эллисон
$913 Объем
10%
Джефф Безос
$9,746 Объем
7%
Илон Маск
$896 Объем
5%
Дженсен Хуанг
$1,410 Объем
25%
Марк Цукерберг
$595 Объем
10%
Ларри Пейдж
$21,072 Объем
62%
Сергей Брин
$7,498 Объем
33%
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Larry Page leads trader consensus for second-richest person by year-end with a 62.5% implied probability, buoyed by Alphabet’s sustained AI momentum in Gemini tools and Google Cloud that lifted his fortune near $280 billion in recent Forbes snapshots. Sergey Brin trails at 33% amid similar Alphabet exposure, while Michael Dell’s 32.5% reflects Dell Technologies’ AI-server demand surge. Jensen Huang and Steve Ballmer sit lower as semiconductor and legacy software valuations face more volatility. Elon Musk’s slim 5.5% chance underscores his commanding lead as the wealthiest, leaving little room for a sudden shift absent major market reversals. Year-end stock trajectories for these tech holdings remain the key swing factor before December 31.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Открытие рынка: Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
Объем
$46,114Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Larry Page leads trader consensus for second-richest person by year-end with a 62.5% implied probability, buoyed by Alphabet’s sustained AI momentum in Gemini tools and Google Cloud that lifted his fortune near $280 billion in recent Forbes snapshots. Sergey Brin trails at 33% amid similar Alphabet exposure, while Michael Dell’s 32.5% reflects Dell Technologies’ AI-server demand surge. Jensen Huang and Steve Ballmer sit lower as semiconductor and legacy software valuations face more volatility. Elon Musk’s slim 5.5% chance underscores his commanding lead as the wealthiest, leaving little room for a sudden shift absent major market reversals. Year-end stock trajectories for these tech holdings remain the key swing factor before December 31.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Объем
$46,114Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Larry Page leads trader consensus for second-richest person by year-end with a 62.5% implied probability, buoyed by Alphabet’s sustained AI momentum in Gemini tools and Google Cloud that lifted his fortune near $280 billion in recent Forbes snapshots. Sergey Brin trails at 33% amid similar Alphabet exposure, while Michael Dell’s 32.5% reflects Dell Technologies’ AI-server demand surge. Jensen Huang and Steve Ballmer sit lower as semiconductor and legacy software valuations face more volatility. Elon Musk’s slim 5.5% chance underscores his commanding lead as the wealthiest, leaving little room for a sudden shift absent major market reversals. Year-end stock trajectories for these tech holdings remain the key swing factor before December 31.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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