Larry Page and Sergey Brin hold the strongest trader consensus for third-richest status by year-end, fueled by Alphabet's sustained AI-driven stock gains that have lifted their combined fortunes well ahead of most peers. Warren Buffett's near-parity odds reflect Berkshire Hathaway's steady performance and his conservative investment style, though his advanced age introduces volatility risks absent from the younger tech founders. Jeff Bezos and others trail as Amazon and broader market swings create more uncertainty, while Elon Musk's low probability stems from his dominant lead at the top. With six months remaining, stock market momentum, earnings reports, and any major asset shifts will likely decide the tight race among the frontrunners.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено3-й самый богатый человек на 31 декабря?
Сергей Брин 52%
Стив Балмер 27.9%
Джефф Безос 7%
Ларри Пейдж 4.9%
$24,320 Объем
$24,320 Объем

Сергей Брин
52%

Стив Балмер
28%

Джефф Безос
7%

Ларри Пейдж
5%

Марк Цукерберг
14%

Илон Маск
2%

Дженсен Хуанг
1%

Ларри Эллисон
<1%

Бернар Арно
<1%

Уоррен Баффет
45%
Сергей Брин 52%
Стив Балмер 27.9%
Джефф Безос 7%
Ларри Пейдж 4.9%
$24,320 Объем
$24,320 Объем

Сергей Брин
52%

Стив Балмер
28%

Джефф Безос
7%

Ларри Пейдж
5%

Марк Цукерберг
14%

Илон Маск
2%

Дженсен Хуанг
1%

Ларри Эллисон
<1%

Бернар Арно
<1%

Уоррен Баффет
45%
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Открытие рынка: Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Larry Page and Sergey Brin hold the strongest trader consensus for third-richest status by year-end, fueled by Alphabet's sustained AI-driven stock gains that have lifted their combined fortunes well ahead of most peers. Warren Buffett's near-parity odds reflect Berkshire Hathaway's steady performance and his conservative investment style, though his advanced age introduces volatility risks absent from the younger tech founders. Jeff Bezos and others trail as Amazon and broader market swings create more uncertainty, while Elon Musk's low probability stems from his dominant lead at the top. With six months remaining, stock market momentum, earnings reports, and any major asset shifts will likely decide the tight race among the frontrunners.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы