Apple’s official August 26 announcement of the September 9 “Surprise and Shine” event, paired with consistent reporting from supply-chain sources and analysts such as Mark Gurman, has driven the 89.6% implied probability that a foldable iPhone will be unveiled. The device, widely expected to debut as the iPhone Ultra in a book-style form factor with a roughly 7.8-inch inner display, titanium frame, and near crease-free panel, aligns with Apple’s shift toward premium form-factor innovation under incoming CEO John Ternus. iOS 27 code references to fold-state detection and developer tools for resizable apps further support readiness. With the event only days away, traders see limited scope for last-minute changes that would prevent the announcement, though actual availability could still slip.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоApple анонсирует складной iPhone на мероприятии «Сюрприз и блеск»?
Apple анонсирует складной iPhone на мероприятии «Сюрприз и блеск»?
Да
93% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 сент. 2026 г.
Да
93% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 сент. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s official August 26 announcement of the September 9 “Surprise and Shine” event, paired with consistent reporting from supply-chain sources and analysts such as Mark Gurman, has driven the 89.6% implied probability that a foldable iPhone will be unveiled. The device, widely expected to debut as the iPhone Ultra in a book-style form factor with a roughly 7.8-inch inner display, titanium frame, and near crease-free panel, aligns with Apple’s shift toward premium form-factor innovation under incoming CEO John Ternus. iOS 27 code references to fold-state detection and developer tools for resizable apps further support readiness. With the event only days away, traders see limited scope for last-minute changes that would prevent the announcement, though actual availability could still slip.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ET
Объем
$4,128Дата окончания
9 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s official August 26 announcement of the September 9 “Surprise and Shine” event, paired with consistent reporting from supply-chain sources and analysts such as Mark Gurman, has driven the 89.6% implied probability that a foldable iPhone will be unveiled. The device, widely expected to debut as the iPhone Ultra in a book-style form factor with a roughly 7.8-inch inner display, titanium frame, and near crease-free panel, aligns with Apple’s shift toward premium form-factor innovation under incoming CEO John Ternus. iOS 27 code references to fold-state detection and developer tools for resizable apps further support readiness. With the event only days away, traders see limited scope for last-minute changes that would prevent the announcement, though actual availability could still slip.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$4,128Дата окончания
9 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Apple’s official August 26 announcement of the September 9 “Surprise and Shine” event, paired with consistent reporting from supply-chain sources and analysts such as Mark Gurman, has driven the 89.6% implied probability that a foldable iPhone will be unveiled. The device, widely expected to debut as the iPhone Ultra in a book-style form factor with a roughly 7.8-inch inner display, titanium frame, and near crease-free panel, aligns with Apple’s shift toward premium form-factor innovation under incoming CEO John Ternus. iOS 27 code references to fold-state detection and developer tools for resizable apps further support readiness. With the event only days away, traders see limited scope for last-minute changes that would prevent the announcement, though actual availability could still slip.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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