Polymarket traders price an 86% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the June 19 meeting, reflecting the central bank's ongoing easing cycle amid sustained disinflation. The Board cut the key rate by 50 basis points to 15% on March 20—its second consecutive reduction this year—citing slower price growth and an economy nearing balance, with annual inflation holding steady at 5.9% in March versus forecasts of 5.8%. Governor Nabiullina's recent warnings of labor shortages and wage pressures have tempered expectations slightly, boosting "no change" to 11%, while hikes at 5.9% appear unlikely absent inflation reacceleration. Traders eye April 24 data releases for confirmation ahead of June.