California's 4th Congressional District held its top-two primary on June 2, 2026, in a district rated Solid Democratic. Incumbent Mike Thompson received the most votes at roughly 40 percent, followed by Democratic challenger Eric Jones at about 22 percent. Republican Ray Riehle placed third near 21 percent, with remaining Republican and other candidates trailing further behind. Under the state's nonpartisan primary rules, Thompson and Jones advance to the November 3 general election regardless of party. Trader consensus on the Polymarket reflects these certified primary outcomes, with limited remaining uncertainty tied to final vote certification deadlines in July. The district's partisan composition and redistricting changes after prior cycles shaped candidate fields and turnout patterns leading into election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$47,374 Объем
Майк Томпсон
100%
Эрик Джонс
100%
Тревор Мэррелл
2%
Лори Маккензи
2%
Шэрон Браун
1%
Мэнди Гусар
<1%
Джон Уэсли Тайлер
<1%
Хит Фулкерсон
<1%
$47,374 Объем
Майк Томпсон
100%
Эрик Джонс
100%
Тревор Мэррелл
2%
Лори Маккензи
2%
Шэрон Браун
1%
Мэнди Гусар
<1%
Джон Уэсли Тайлер
<1%
Хит Фулкерсон
<1%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...California's 4th Congressional District held its top-two primary on June 2, 2026, in a district rated Solid Democratic. Incumbent Mike Thompson received the most votes at roughly 40 percent, followed by Democratic challenger Eric Jones at about 22 percent. Republican Ray Riehle placed third near 21 percent, with remaining Republican and other candidates trailing further behind. Under the state's nonpartisan primary rules, Thompson and Jones advance to the November 3 general election regardless of party. Trader consensus on the Polymarket reflects these certified primary outcomes, with limited remaining uncertainty tied to final vote certification deadlines in July. The district's partisan composition and redistricting changes after prior cycles shaped candidate fields and turnout patterns leading into election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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