Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson leads the field for California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, buoyed by his established name recognition, endorsements like Metro PAC, and solid fundraising in the D+8 district reshaped by 2025 redistricting Proposition 50. Challenger Democrat Eric Jones, a self-funding entrepreneur backed by progressive groups such as Our Revolution, has intensified efforts with recent door-knocking surpassing 100,000 and April media spotlight on his family-focused platform, potentially consolidating anti-incumbent votes. Republicans' six candidates risk vote-splitting, hindering a general election matchup; absent public polls, low-turnout dynamics and early voting could tip the second advancement spot amid certified filings from late March.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$22,189 Объем
2 июн. 2026 г.
Майк Томпсон
99%
Эрик Джонс
91%
Хит Фулкерсон
11%
Тревор Мэррелл
11%
Джон Уэсли Тайлер
10%
Лори Маккензи
7%
Шэрон Браун
6%
Мэнди Гусар
6%
$22,189 Объем
Майк Томпсон
$6,660 Объем
99%
Эрик Джонс
$4,475 Объем
91%
Хит Фулкерсон
$315 Объем
11%
Тревор Мэррелл
$6,994 Объем
11%
Джон Уэсли Тайлер
$670 Объем
10%
Лори Маккензи
$710 Объем
7%
Шэрон Браун
$1,621 Объем
6%
Мэнди Гусар
$744 Объем
6%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson leads the field for California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, buoyed by his established name recognition, endorsements like Metro PAC, and solid fundraising in the D+8 district reshaped by 2025 redistricting Proposition 50. Challenger Democrat Eric Jones, a self-funding entrepreneur backed by progressive groups such as Our Revolution, has intensified efforts with recent door-knocking surpassing 100,000 and April media spotlight on his family-focused platform, potentially consolidating anti-incumbent votes. Republicans' six candidates risk vote-splitting, hindering a general election matchup; absent public polls, low-turnout dynamics and early voting could tip the second advancement spot amid certified filings from late March.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Объем
$22,189Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson leads the field for California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, buoyed by his established name recognition, endorsements like Metro PAC, and solid fundraising in the D+8 district reshaped by 2025 redistricting Proposition 50. Challenger Democrat Eric Jones, a self-funding entrepreneur backed by progressive groups such as Our Revolution, has intensified efforts with recent door-knocking surpassing 100,000 and April media spotlight on his family-focused platform, potentially consolidating anti-incumbent votes. Republicans' six candidates risk vote-splitting, hindering a general election matchup; absent public polls, low-turnout dynamics and early voting could tip the second advancement spot amid certified filings from late March.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$22,189Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson leads the field for California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, buoyed by his established name recognition, endorsements like Metro PAC, and solid fundraising in the D+8 district reshaped by 2025 redistricting Proposition 50. Challenger Democrat Eric Jones, a self-funding entrepreneur backed by progressive groups such as Our Revolution, has intensified efforts with recent door-knocking surpassing 100,000 and April media spotlight on his family-focused platform, potentially consolidating anti-incumbent votes. Republicans' six candidates risk vote-splitting, hindering a general election matchup; absent public polls, low-turnout dynamics and early voting could tip the second advancement spot amid certified filings from late March.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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