The June 2026 top-two primary in California's 34th congressional district advanced two Democratic candidates—incumbent Jimmy Gomez and Angela Gonzales-Torres—after Gomez received roughly 46% and Gonzales-Torres about 31%, while the leading Republican finished third at 14%. This outcome locked in a Democratic-versus-Democratic general election on November 3 in a district with a strong Democratic partisan lean and no Republican on the ballot. All major race ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic, consistent with its history and voter registration patterns. Trader consensus at 97.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors and the absence of any credible path for Republican victory. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome remain limited to extraordinary late developments such as candidate withdrawal, disqualification, or major unforeseen events before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-34 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-34 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$49,510 Объем
$49,510 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
97%
Республиканская партия
<1%
$49,510 Объем
$49,510 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$20,215 Объем
97%
Республиканская партия
$29,295 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The June 2026 top-two primary in California's 34th congressional district advanced two Democratic candidates—incumbent Jimmy Gomez and Angela Gonzales-Torres—after Gomez received roughly 46% and Gonzales-Torres about 31%, while the leading Republican finished third at 14%. This outcome locked in a Democratic-versus-Democratic general election on November 3 in a district with a strong Democratic partisan lean and no Republican on the ballot. All major race ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic, consistent with its history and voter registration patterns. Trader consensus at 97.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors and the absence of any credible path for Republican victory. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome remain limited to extraordinary late developments such as candidate withdrawal, disqualification, or major unforeseen events before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Объем
$49,510Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The June 2026 top-two primary in California's 34th congressional district advanced two Democratic candidates—incumbent Jimmy Gomez and Angela Gonzales-Torres—after Gomez received roughly 46% and Gonzales-Torres about 31%, while the leading Republican finished third at 14%. This outcome locked in a Democratic-versus-Democratic general election on November 3 in a district with a strong Democratic partisan lean and no Republican on the ballot. All major race ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic, consistent with its history and voter registration patterns. Trader consensus at 97.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors and the absence of any credible path for Republican victory. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome remain limited to extraordinary late developments such as candidate withdrawal, disqualification, or major unforeseen events before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$49,510Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...The June 2026 top-two primary in California's 34th congressional district advanced two Democratic candidates—incumbent Jimmy Gomez and Angela Gonzales-Torres—after Gomez received roughly 46% and Gonzales-Torres about 31%, while the leading Republican finished third at 14%. This outcome locked in a Democratic-versus-Democratic general election on November 3 in a district with a strong Democratic partisan lean and no Republican on the ballot. All major race ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic, consistent with its history and voter registration patterns. Trader consensus at 97.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors and the absence of any credible path for Republican victory. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome remain limited to extraordinary late developments such as candidate withdrawal, disqualification, or major unforeseen events before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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