The heavily Democratic partisan composition of California's 34th congressional district, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+28, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Jimmy Gomez faces multiple Democratic challengers in the June 2 top-two primary alongside a single Republican candidate, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. This positioning aligns with historical voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Scenarios that could alter the outlook include an unexpected primary outcome advancing a weaker general election candidate or late-cycle developments such as candidate withdrawals or significant shifts in turnout among key voting blocs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-34 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-34 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$24,119 Объем
$24,119 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
3%
$24,119 Объем
$24,119 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$6,996 Объем
93%
Республиканская партия
$17,124 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic partisan composition of California's 34th congressional district, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+28, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Jimmy Gomez faces multiple Democratic challengers in the June 2 top-two primary alongside a single Republican candidate, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. This positioning aligns with historical voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Scenarios that could alter the outlook include an unexpected primary outcome advancing a weaker general election candidate or late-cycle developments such as candidate withdrawals or significant shifts in turnout among key voting blocs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Объем
$24,119Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic partisan composition of California's 34th congressional district, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+28, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Jimmy Gomez faces multiple Democratic challengers in the June 2 top-two primary alongside a single Republican candidate, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. This positioning aligns with historical voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Scenarios that could alter the outlook include an unexpected primary outcome advancing a weaker general election candidate or late-cycle developments such as candidate withdrawals or significant shifts in turnout among key voting blocs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$24,119Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic partisan composition of California's 34th congressional district, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+28, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Jimmy Gomez faces multiple Democratic challengers in the June 2 top-two primary alongside a single Republican candidate, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. This positioning aligns with historical voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Scenarios that could alter the outlook include an unexpected primary outcome advancing a weaker general election candidate or late-cycle developments such as candidate withdrawals or significant shifts in turnout among key voting blocs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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