The strong Democratic lean of California's 34th Congressional District, anchored by its urban Los Angeles neighborhoods and consistent voting patterns favoring Democratic candidates, underpins the market's high implied probability for a Democratic winner in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Jimmy Gomez advances from the June 2 primary against a field that includes Republican challengers such as Calvin Lee, with limited fundraising or polling signals of a viable path to victory for any opponent. California's top-two primary system and the district's partisan composition have historically produced large Democratic margins. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unanticipated national political shifts could still alter outcomes before Election Day, though the current structure favors continuity in party control.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-34 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-34 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$24,119 Объем
$24,119 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
3%
$24,119 Объем
$24,119 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$6,996 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$17,124 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 34th Congressional District, anchored by its urban Los Angeles neighborhoods and consistent voting patterns favoring Democratic candidates, underpins the market's high implied probability for a Democratic winner in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Jimmy Gomez advances from the June 2 primary against a field that includes Republican challengers such as Calvin Lee, with limited fundraising or polling signals of a viable path to victory for any opponent. California's top-two primary system and the district's partisan composition have historically produced large Democratic margins. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unanticipated national political shifts could still alter outcomes before Election Day, though the current structure favors continuity in party control.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Объем
$24,119Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 34th Congressional District, anchored by its urban Los Angeles neighborhoods and consistent voting patterns favoring Democratic candidates, underpins the market's high implied probability for a Democratic winner in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Jimmy Gomez advances from the June 2 primary against a field that includes Republican challengers such as Calvin Lee, with limited fundraising or polling signals of a viable path to victory for any opponent. California's top-two primary system and the district's partisan composition have historically produced large Democratic margins. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unanticipated national political shifts could still alter outcomes before Election Day, though the current structure favors continuity in party control.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$24,119Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of California's 34th Congressional District, anchored by its urban Los Angeles neighborhoods and consistent voting patterns favoring Democratic candidates, underpins the market's high implied probability for a Democratic winner in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Jimmy Gomez advances from the June 2 primary against a field that includes Republican challengers such as Calvin Lee, with limited fundraising or polling signals of a viable path to victory for any opponent. California's top-two primary system and the district's partisan composition have historically produced large Democratic margins. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unanticipated national political shifts could still alter outcomes before Election Day, though the current structure favors continuity in party control.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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