Democratic incumbent Brad Sherman holds a commanding lead in the CA-32 general election due to the district’s consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+14 Cook Partisan Voter Index and roughly 2-to-1 Democratic registration edge. Sherman, first elected in 1997, advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary against Republican Larry Thompson and several intra-party challengers, underscoring his established base in the San Fernando Valley and coastal areas. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on the strong incumbency and partisan fundamentals. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include a late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually low Democratic turnout in the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-32 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-32 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$26,121 Объем
$26,121 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
1%
$26,121 Объем
$26,121 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$12,381 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$13,740 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Brad Sherman holds a commanding lead in the CA-32 general election due to the district’s consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+14 Cook Partisan Voter Index and roughly 2-to-1 Democratic registration edge. Sherman, first elected in 1997, advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary against Republican Larry Thompson and several intra-party challengers, underscoring his established base in the San Fernando Valley and coastal areas. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on the strong incumbency and partisan fundamentals. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include a late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually low Democratic turnout in the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Объем
$26,121Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Brad Sherman holds a commanding lead in the CA-32 general election due to the district’s consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+14 Cook Partisan Voter Index and roughly 2-to-1 Democratic registration edge. Sherman, first elected in 1997, advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary against Republican Larry Thompson and several intra-party challengers, underscoring his established base in the San Fernando Valley and coastal areas. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on the strong incumbency and partisan fundamentals. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include a late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually low Democratic turnout in the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$26,121Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Brad Sherman holds a commanding lead in the CA-32 general election due to the district’s consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+14 Cook Partisan Voter Index and roughly 2-to-1 Democratic registration edge. Sherman, first elected in 1997, advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary against Republican Larry Thompson and several intra-party challengers, underscoring his established base in the San Fernando Valley and coastal areas. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on the strong incumbency and partisan fundamentals. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include a late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually low Democratic turnout in the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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