Mary Miller holds a commanding position in the Illinois 15th congressional district race due to the area's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+20 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Safe Republican ratings from forecasters. As the three-term incumbent, she secured her party's nomination with over 73 percent in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge with more than $833,000 in cash on hand. Democrat Jennifer Todd advanced from a competitive primary but operates with limited resources in a rural district stretching across central Illinois. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Miller aligns with historical results and structural advantages, though late shifts in national conditions or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей IL-15
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей IL-15
$38,437 Объем
$38,437 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Мэри Миллер (Р)
96%
Дженнифер Тодд (Д)
6%
$38,437 Объем
$38,437 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Мэри Миллер (Р)
$19,733 Объем
96%
Дженнифер Тодд (Д)
$18,705 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mary Miller holds a commanding position in the Illinois 15th congressional district race due to the area's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+20 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Safe Republican ratings from forecasters. As the three-term incumbent, she secured her party's nomination with over 73 percent in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge with more than $833,000 in cash on hand. Democrat Jennifer Todd advanced from a competitive primary but operates with limited resources in a rural district stretching across central Illinois. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Miller aligns with historical results and structural advantages, though late shifts in national conditions or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$38,437Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mary Miller holds a commanding position in the Illinois 15th congressional district race due to the area's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+20 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Safe Republican ratings from forecasters. As the three-term incumbent, she secured her party's nomination with over 73 percent in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge with more than $833,000 in cash on hand. Democrat Jennifer Todd advanced from a competitive primary but operates with limited resources in a rural district stretching across central Illinois. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Miller aligns with historical results and structural advantages, though late shifts in national conditions or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$38,437Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Mary Miller holds a commanding position in the Illinois 15th congressional district race due to the area's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+20 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Safe Republican ratings from forecasters. As the three-term incumbent, she secured her party's nomination with over 73 percent in the March primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge with more than $833,000 in cash on hand. Democrat Jennifer Todd advanced from a competitive primary but operates with limited resources in a rural district stretching across central Illinois. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Miller aligns with historical results and structural advantages, though late shifts in national conditions or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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