Mary Miller's commanding position in the IL-15 House race stems from the district's strong Republican lean in rural central Illinois, her status as incumbent, and decisive primary victories in March 2026. She secured 73.6% in the Republican primary against two challengers, while Democrat Jennifer Todd advanced with 45.8% of her primary vote. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat solid or safe Republican. Miller maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $800,000 cash on hand compared to Todd's limited resources. The November 3 general election outcome could shift only in the event of a late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national political realignment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей IL-15
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей IL-15
$38,437 Объем
$38,437 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Мэри Миллер (Р)
96%
Дженнифер Тодд (Д)
6%
$38,437 Объем
$38,437 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Мэри Миллер (Р)
$19,733 Объем
96%
Дженнифер Тодд (Д)
$18,705 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mary Miller's commanding position in the IL-15 House race stems from the district's strong Republican lean in rural central Illinois, her status as incumbent, and decisive primary victories in March 2026. She secured 73.6% in the Republican primary against two challengers, while Democrat Jennifer Todd advanced with 45.8% of her primary vote. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat solid or safe Republican. Miller maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $800,000 cash on hand compared to Todd's limited resources. The November 3 general election outcome could shift only in the event of a late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national political realignment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$38,437Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mary Miller's commanding position in the IL-15 House race stems from the district's strong Republican lean in rural central Illinois, her status as incumbent, and decisive primary victories in March 2026. She secured 73.6% in the Republican primary against two challengers, while Democrat Jennifer Todd advanced with 45.8% of her primary vote. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat solid or safe Republican. Miller maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $800,000 cash on hand compared to Todd's limited resources. The November 3 general election outcome could shift only in the event of a late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national political realignment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$38,437Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Mary Miller's commanding position in the IL-15 House race stems from the district's strong Republican lean in rural central Illinois, her status as incumbent, and decisive primary victories in March 2026. She secured 73.6% in the Republican primary against two challengers, while Democrat Jennifer Todd advanced with 45.8% of her primary vote. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat solid or safe Republican. Miller maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $800,000 cash on hand compared to Todd's limited resources. The November 3 general election outcome could shift only in the event of a late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national political realignment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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