Recent forecasts from multiple models place Ankara's September 22 high temperature in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, driven by a transitional pattern featuring scattered showers or thunderstorms that could limit daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Regional pressure gradients and northeasterly flow introduce modest uncertainty in peak values, with variations in timing of any precipitation or breaks in cloudiness distinguishing outcomes near 21–24°C from slightly warmer 25–27°C scenarios. Historical September averages near 24–26°C provide context, while the spread of market-implied odds reflects genuine short-range forecast divergence rather than extreme deviations. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Анкаре 22 сентября?
25°C 35%
23°C 29%
24°C 26%
26°C 14%
20°C или ниже
3%
21°C
6%
22°C
12%
23°C
29%
24°C
24%
25°C
35%
26°C
14%
27°C
6%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C или выше
2%
25°C 35%
23°C 29%
24°C 26%
26°C 14%
20°C или ниже
3%
21°C
6%
22°C
12%
23°C
29%
24°C
24%
25°C
35%
26°C
14%
27°C
6%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C или выше
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models place Ankara's September 22 high temperature in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, driven by a transitional pattern featuring scattered showers or thunderstorms that could limit daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Regional pressure gradients and northeasterly flow introduce modest uncertainty in peak values, with variations in timing of any precipitation or breaks in cloudiness distinguishing outcomes near 21–24°C from slightly warmer 25–27°C scenarios. Historical September averages near 24–26°C provide context, while the spread of market-implied odds reflects genuine short-range forecast divergence rather than extreme deviations. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы