**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 5, 2026, centers on the 15–17°C range, with 16°C holding the strongest implied probability at 59.5%.** Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and supporting models indicate a daytime maximum near 15°C under mostly stable winter conditions, with limited warm advection and possible cloud cover or light showers moderating peak values. Recent observational data from early August show highs fluctuating between 15–21°C, placing today’s expected outcome squarely in the historical average for the month. Forecast consensus from sources such as Meteored and AccuWeather reinforces a narrow band around 15–16°C, while minor model spread and timing of any clearing skies introduce the modest probability mass on 17°C. Traders appear to weigh the official 11–15°C envelope against the potential for a brief afternoon rise, producing the current tight distribution around 16°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 5 августа?
16°C 60%
15°C 24%
17°C 16%
18°C 1.0%
$19,624 Объем
$19,624 Объем
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
24%
16°C
60%
17°C
16%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 60%
15°C 24%
17°C 16%
18°C 1.0%
$19,624 Объем
$19,624 Объем
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
24%
16°C
60%
17°C
16%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 5, 2026, centers on the 15–17°C range, with 16°C holding the strongest implied probability at 59.5%.** Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and supporting models indicate a daytime maximum near 15°C under mostly stable winter conditions, with limited warm advection and possible cloud cover or light showers moderating peak values. Recent observational data from early August show highs fluctuating between 15–21°C, placing today’s expected outcome squarely in the historical average for the month. Forecast consensus from sources such as Meteored and AccuWeather reinforces a narrow band around 15–16°C, while minor model spread and timing of any clearing skies introduce the modest probability mass on 17°C. Traders appear to weigh the official 11–15°C envelope against the potential for a brief afternoon rise, producing the current tight distribution around 16°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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