Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm a highest temperature of 28°C across monitoring stations on April 18, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the definitive market resolution criterion. This aligns with subtropical climatological norms for mid-April, where maximums typically range 25–29°C amid normal to above-normal seasonal temperatures per HKO's April–June 2026 forecast, influenced by continental air flows and minimal cloud cover that day. Verified surface measurements from the Observatory and regional sites provide unassailable evidence, with data releases in the past 48 hours solidifying positioning. Realistic challenges are negligible—only a formal data audit uncovering overlooked station peaks could shift it, an exceedingly rare occurrence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 18?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 18?
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$272,020 Объем
$272,020 Объем
18 апр. 2026 г.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$272,020 Объем
$272,020 Объем
18 апр. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$3,992 Объем
No
22°C
$4,027 Объем
No
23°C
$9,312 Объем
No
24°C
$6,483 Объем
No
25°C
$8,918 Объем
No
26°C
$27,548 Объем
No
27°C
$69,514 Объем
No
28°C
$55,745 Объем
Yes
29°C
$32,475 Объем
No
30°C
$35,940 Объем
No
31°C or higher
$18,065 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm a highest temperature of 28°C across monitoring stations on April 18, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the definitive market resolution criterion. This aligns with subtropical climatological norms for mid-April, where maximums typically range 25–29°C amid normal to above-normal seasonal temperatures per HKO's April–June 2026 forecast, influenced by continental air flows and minimal cloud cover that day. Verified surface measurements from the Observatory and regional sites provide unassailable evidence, with data releases in the past 48 hours solidifying positioning. Realistic challenges are negligible—only a formal data audit uncovering overlooked station peaks could shift it, an exceedingly rare occurrence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Объем
$272,020Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm a highest temperature of 28°C across monitoring stations on April 18, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the definitive market resolution criterion. This aligns with subtropical climatological norms for mid-April, where maximums typically range 25–29°C amid normal to above-normal seasonal temperatures per HKO's April–June 2026 forecast, influenced by continental air flows and minimal cloud cover that day. Verified surface measurements from the Observatory and regional sites provide unassailable evidence, with data releases in the past 48 hours solidifying positioning. Realistic challenges are negligible—only a formal data audit uncovering overlooked station peaks could shift it, an exceedingly rare occurrence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$272,020Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm a highest temperature of 28°C across monitoring stations on April 18, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the definitive market resolution criterion. This aligns with subtropical climatological norms for mid-April, where maximums typically range 25–29°C amid normal to above-normal seasonal temperatures per HKO's April–June 2026 forecast, influenced by continental air flows and minimal cloud cover that day. Verified surface measurements from the Observatory and regional sites provide unassailable evidence, with data releases in the past 48 hours solidifying positioning. Realistic challenges are negligible—only a formal data audit uncovering overlooked station peaks could shift it, an exceedingly rare occurrence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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