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icon for Самая высокая температура в Тайбэе 3 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Тайбэе 3 августа?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Тайбэе 3 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Тайбэе 3 августа?

37°C 37%

36°C 34%

35°C 15%

38°C 12%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

37°C 37%

36°C 34%

35°C 15%

38°C 12%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

30°C or below

$70 Объем

<1%

31°C

$47 Объем

1%

32°C

$20 Объем

2%

33°C

$14 Объем

4%

34°C

$3 Объем

11%

35°C

$0 Объем

15%

36°C

$241 Объем

34%

37°C

$102 Объем

37%

38°C

$168 Объем

12%

39°C

$201 Объем

3%

40°C или выше

$10 Объем

6%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate Taipei highs around 33–36°C for August 3, 2026, aligning with the Central Weather Administration’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-average summer temperatures after a wet June. Subtropical conditions feature intense solar insolation, high humidity that reduces nocturnal cooling, and urban heat island effects amplifying daytime peaks, while afternoon convection or scattered showers can cap extremes. Model consensus on steering patterns and cloud cover creates tight uncertainty between 36°C and 37°C outcomes, with traders weighting recent dry-trending signals and historical August maxima near 34–35°C. Updated CWA guidance and ensemble runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$876
Дата окончания
3 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate Taipei highs around 33–36°C for August 3, 2026, aligning with the Central Weather Administration’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-average summer temperatures after a wet June. Subtropical conditions feature intense solar insolation, high humidity that reduces nocturnal cooling, and urban heat island effects amplifying daytime peaks, while afternoon convection or scattered showers can cap extremes. Model consensus on steering patterns and cloud cover creates tight uncertainty between 36°C and 37°C outcomes, with traders weighting recent dry-trending signals and historical August maxima near 34–35°C. Updated CWA guidance and ensemble runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$876
Дата окончания
3 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Тайбэе 3 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «37°C» с 37%, за ним следует «36°C» с 34%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 37¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 37%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая высокая температура в Тайбэе 3 августа?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 1, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Тайбэе 3 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Тайбэе 3 августа?» — «37°C» с 37%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 37%. Следующий ближайший исход — «36°C» с 34%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Тайбэе 3 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.