The Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) recorded a maximum air temperature of 31.6°C at its headquarters on May 12, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for "31°C or higher," as this official measurement—taken via standardized instrumentation at the reference station—defines market resolution. A southerly airstream brought warm, humid air masses over the region, combined with sunny periods and light winds that minimized cloud cover and enhanced daytime solar heating, aligning with HKO's seasonal forecast of normal to above-normal May temperatures amid a projected hot 2026. While data revisions from quality checks are exceedingly rare for settled observations, an unprecedented instrument malfunction or audit uncovering measurement error could theoretically challenge this positioning before final confirmation in the monthly summary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 12?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 12?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$436,853 Объем
$436,853 Объем
12 мая 2026 г.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
Yes
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$436,853 Объем
$436,853 Объем
12 мая 2026 г.
21°C or below
$4,910 Объем
No
22°C
$2,040 Объем
No
23°C
$3,658 Объем
No
24°C
$7,804 Объем
No
25°C
$6,291 Объем
No
26°C
$75,727 Объем
No
27°C
$23,842 Объем
No
28°C
$43,398 Объем
No
29°C
$39,740 Объем
No
30°C
$101,422 Объем
No
31°C or higher
$128,023 Объем
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) recorded a maximum air temperature of 31.6°C at its headquarters on May 12, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for "31°C or higher," as this official measurement—taken via standardized instrumentation at the reference station—defines market resolution. A southerly airstream brought warm, humid air masses over the region, combined with sunny periods and light winds that minimized cloud cover and enhanced daytime solar heating, aligning with HKO's seasonal forecast of normal to above-normal May temperatures amid a projected hot 2026. While data revisions from quality checks are exceedingly rare for settled observations, an unprecedented instrument malfunction or audit uncovering measurement error could theoretically challenge this positioning before final confirmation in the monthly summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Объем
$436,853Дата окончания
12 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) recorded a maximum air temperature of 31.6°C at its headquarters on May 12, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for "31°C or higher," as this official measurement—taken via standardized instrumentation at the reference station—defines market resolution. A southerly airstream brought warm, humid air masses over the region, combined with sunny periods and light winds that minimized cloud cover and enhanced daytime solar heating, aligning with HKO's seasonal forecast of normal to above-normal May temperatures amid a projected hot 2026. While data revisions from quality checks are exceedingly rare for settled observations, an unprecedented instrument malfunction or audit uncovering measurement error could theoretically challenge this positioning before final confirmation in the monthly summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$436,853Дата окончания
12 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) recorded a maximum air temperature of 31.6°C at its headquarters on May 12, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for "31°C or higher," as this official measurement—taken via standardized instrumentation at the reference station—defines market resolution. A southerly airstream brought warm, humid air masses over the region, combined with sunny periods and light winds that minimized cloud cover and enhanced daytime solar heating, aligning with HKO's seasonal forecast of normal to above-normal May temperatures amid a projected hot 2026. While data revisions from quality checks are exceedingly rare for settled observations, an unprecedented instrument malfunction or audit uncovering measurement error could theoretically challenge this positioning before final confirmation in the monthly summary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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