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Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 18?

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Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 18?

72°F or higher 80%

70-71°F 10%

68-69°F 6%

66-67°F 1.9%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

72°F or higher 80%

70-71°F 10%

68-69°F 6%

66-67°F 1.9%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

53°F or below

$452 Объем

<1%

54-55°F

$184 Объем

<1%

56-57°F

$174 Объем

<1%

58-59°F

$174 Объем

<1%

60-61°F

$166 Объем

1%

62-63°F

$224 Объем

1%

64-65°F

$134 Объем

1%

66-67°F

$116 Объем

2%

68-69°F

$152 Объем

6%

70-71°F

$104 Объем

10%

72°F or higher

$235 Объем

80%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 72°F or higher (89%) for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 18, driven by the National Weather Service's latest Area Forecast Discussion emphasizing a warming trend from downsloping winds adding 3-5°F to coastal and valley areas, including the LA Basin. Yesterday's (April 15) observed highs reached 70°F at LAX airport and 75°F downtown amid clearing skies, with models showing persistent high pressure ridge promoting subsidence and rapid burn-off of patchy morning marine layer by midday. This positions expected peaks in the mid-to-upper 70s, well above April climatological normals of 68°F at LAX and 72°F downtown. Minor uncertainty lingers from potential stubborn stratus capping peaks at 70-71°F (14%), with new 12Z GFS/ECMWF runs and NWS updates expected today.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$2,031
Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 1:32 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 72°F or higher (89%) for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 18, driven by the National Weather Service's latest Area Forecast Discussion emphasizing a warming trend from downsloping winds adding 3-5°F to coastal and valley areas, including the LA Basin. Yesterday's (April 15) observed highs reached 70°F at LAX airport and 75°F downtown amid clearing skies, with models showing persistent high pressure ridge promoting subsidence and rapid burn-off of patchy morning marine layer by midday. This positions expected peaks in the mid-to-upper 70s, well above April climatological normals of 68°F at LAX and 72°F downtown. Minor uncertainty lingers from potential stubborn stratus capping peaks at 70-71°F (14%), with new 12Z GFS/ECMWF runs and NWS updates expected today.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$2,031
Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 1:32 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 18?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «72°F or higher» с 80%, за ним следует «70-71°F» с 10%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 80¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 80%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 18?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 16, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 18?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 18?» — «72°F or higher» с 80%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 80%. Следующий ближайший исход — «70-71°F» с 10%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 18?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.