Official measurements from Spain’s AEMET confirmed a daily maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 24 under stable high pressure and light southeasterly winds, matching pre-event model consensus and driving the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. Recent observational data showed temperatures tracking forecasts closely through the afternoon, with no significant deviations from climatological norms for late May. This skin-in-the-game consensus incorporates the limited upside risk from urban heat-island effects or localized variability. The primary variables that could have altered the result—stronger advection or delayed cloud cover—did not materialize, leaving resolution criteria firmly met at the 32°C threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on May 24?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 24?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$60,891 Объем
$60,891 Объем
24 мая 2026 г.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$60,891 Объем
$60,891 Объем
24 мая 2026 г.
26°C or below
$1,702 Объем
No
27°C
$669 Объем
No
28°C
$2,177 Объем
No
29°C
$4,120 Объем
No
30°C
$6,008 Объем
No
31°C
$7,514 Объем
No
32°C
$15,051 Объем
Yes
33°C
$10,960 Объем
No
34°C
$7,858 Объем
No
35°C
$3,341 Объем
No
36°C or higher
$1,490 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from Spain’s AEMET confirmed a daily maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 24 under stable high pressure and light southeasterly winds, matching pre-event model consensus and driving the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. Recent observational data showed temperatures tracking forecasts closely through the afternoon, with no significant deviations from climatological norms for late May. This skin-in-the-game consensus incorporates the limited upside risk from urban heat-island effects or localized variability. The primary variables that could have altered the result—stronger advection or delayed cloud cover—did not materialize, leaving resolution criteria firmly met at the 32°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 22, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Объем
$60,891Дата окончания
24 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 22, 2026, 12:42 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from Spain’s AEMET confirmed a daily maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 24 under stable high pressure and light southeasterly winds, matching pre-event model consensus and driving the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. Recent observational data showed temperatures tracking forecasts closely through the afternoon, with no significant deviations from climatological norms for late May. This skin-in-the-game consensus incorporates the limited upside risk from urban heat-island effects or localized variability. The primary variables that could have altered the result—stronger advection or delayed cloud cover—did not materialize, leaving resolution criteria firmly met at the 32°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$60,891Дата окончания
24 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 22, 2026, 12:42 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official measurements from Spain’s AEMET confirmed a daily maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 24 under stable high pressure and light southeasterly winds, matching pre-event model consensus and driving the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. Recent observational data showed temperatures tracking forecasts closely through the afternoon, with no significant deviations from climatological norms for late May. This skin-in-the-game consensus incorporates the limited upside risk from urban heat-island effects or localized variability. The primary variables that could have altered the result—stronger advection or delayed cloud cover—did not materialize, leaving resolution criteria firmly met at the 32°C threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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