Recent forecast model consensus from sources like GFS points to a Madrid high near 27°C on September 9, driven by moderating northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover following an unusually hot 34°C+ day on September 8. This setup, with limited daytime heating under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy conditions and a modest 16–36% overnight shower chance, aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 26–28°C outcomes. Historical September averages near 28°C provide context, but current observational trends and steering patterns favor slightly cooler readings without strong subsidence or clear-sky amplification. Updated model runs and official agency briefings over the next 24 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мадриде 9 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 9 сентября?
27°C 45%
26°C 24%
28°C 22%
25°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 сент. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
24%
27°C
45%
28°C
22%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C или выше
<1%
27°C 45%
26°C 24%
28°C 22%
25°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 сент. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
$689 Объем
1%
25°C
$380 Объем
6%
26°C
$691 Объем
24%
27°C
$2,027 Объем
45%
28°C
$713 Объем
22%
29°C
$792 Объем
6%
30°C
$830 Объем
1%
31°C
$88 Объем
1%
32°C
$369 Объем
<1%
33°C
$185 Объем
<1%
34°C или выше
$404 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like GFS points to a Madrid high near 27°C on September 9, driven by moderating northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover following an unusually hot 34°C+ day on September 8. This setup, with limited daytime heating under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy conditions and a modest 16–36% overnight shower chance, aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 26–28°C outcomes. Historical September averages near 28°C provide context, but current observational trends and steering patterns favor slightly cooler readings without strong subsidence or clear-sky amplification. Updated model runs and official agency briefings over the next 24 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$7,166Дата окончания
9 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like GFS points to a Madrid high near 27°C on September 9, driven by moderating northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover following an unusually hot 34°C+ day on September 8. This setup, with limited daytime heating under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy conditions and a modest 16–36% overnight shower chance, aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 26–28°C outcomes. Historical September averages near 28°C provide context, but current observational trends and steering patterns favor slightly cooler readings without strong subsidence or clear-sky amplification. Updated model runs and official agency briefings over the next 24 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,166Дата окончания
9 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources like GFS points to a Madrid high near 27°C on September 9, driven by moderating northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover following an unusually hot 34°C+ day on September 8. This setup, with limited daytime heating under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy conditions and a modest 16–36% overnight shower chance, aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 26–28°C outcomes. Historical September averages near 28°C provide context, but current observational trends and steering patterns favor slightly cooler readings without strong subsidence or clear-sky amplification. Updated model runs and official agency briefings over the next 24 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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