PAGASA observations at Science Garden station in Quezon City recorded Metro Manila's air temperature peaking at 36.2°C around 3 p.m. on May 10, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 36°C daily high, as measured to the nearest whole degree. This aligns with extended forecasts projecting 35-36°C highs under partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and low rain chances (20-30%), typical of the dry-hot season's high solar insolation and minimum humidity near 46%. Evening cooldown to 30-31°C further solidifies positioning, with diurnal cycles precluding later peaks. Realistic challenges include a measurement revision at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport station (market resolution source) or anomalous late-afternoon surge, though model consensus and historical May precedents (33-38°C) deem these unlikely. Final daily data expected by midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Manila on May 10?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 10?
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$30,298 Объем
$30,298 Объем
10 мая 2026 г.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$30,298 Объем
$30,298 Объем
10 мая 2026 г.
29°C or below
$1,092 Объем
No
30°C
$1,004 Объем
No
31°C
$755 Объем
No
32°C
$1,793 Объем
No
33°C
$3,372 Объем
No
34°C
$4,170 Объем
No
35°C
$4,157 Объем
No
36°C
$5,908 Объем
Yes
37°C
$2,874 Объем
No
38°C
$2,423 Объем
No
39°C or higher
$2,751 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA observations at Science Garden station in Quezon City recorded Metro Manila's air temperature peaking at 36.2°C around 3 p.m. on May 10, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 36°C daily high, as measured to the nearest whole degree. This aligns with extended forecasts projecting 35-36°C highs under partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and low rain chances (20-30%), typical of the dry-hot season's high solar insolation and minimum humidity near 46%. Evening cooldown to 30-31°C further solidifies positioning, with diurnal cycles precluding later peaks. Realistic challenges include a measurement revision at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport station (market resolution source) or anomalous late-afternoon surge, though model consensus and historical May precedents (33-38°C) deem these unlikely. Final daily data expected by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 8, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Объем
$30,298Дата окончания
10 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 8, 2026, 12:35 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA observations at Science Garden station in Quezon City recorded Metro Manila's air temperature peaking at 36.2°C around 3 p.m. on May 10, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 36°C daily high, as measured to the nearest whole degree. This aligns with extended forecasts projecting 35-36°C highs under partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and low rain chances (20-30%), typical of the dry-hot season's high solar insolation and minimum humidity near 46%. Evening cooldown to 30-31°C further solidifies positioning, with diurnal cycles precluding later peaks. Realistic challenges include a measurement revision at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport station (market resolution source) or anomalous late-afternoon surge, though model consensus and historical May precedents (33-38°C) deem these unlikely. Final daily data expected by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$30,298Дата окончания
10 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 8, 2026, 12:35 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
PAGASA observations at Science Garden station in Quezon City recorded Metro Manila's air temperature peaking at 36.2°C around 3 p.m. on May 10, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 36°C daily high, as measured to the nearest whole degree. This aligns with extended forecasts projecting 35-36°C highs under partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and low rain chances (20-30%), typical of the dry-hot season's high solar insolation and minimum humidity near 46%. Evening cooldown to 30-31°C further solidifies positioning, with diurnal cycles precluding later peaks. Realistic challenges include a measurement revision at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport station (market resolution source) or anomalous late-afternoon surge, though model consensus and historical May precedents (33-38°C) deem these unlikely. Final daily data expected by midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы