Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Mexico City high of 29°C (35.5% implied probability), followed by 30°C (25.5%) and 28°C (22.5%), reflecting the latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), which projects maximum temperatures of 27-29°C for April 17 amid dry-season high pressure and clear skies promoting solar heating. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's baseline April highs average 26-27°C per historical NOAA data, but recent observations through April 16 show consistent 26-28°C peaks with low humidity and minimal cloud cover enhancing daytime insolation. Model ensembles like GFS indicate slight intensification potential from subsiding air, though urban heat island effects add uncertainty to official Ciudad Universitaria station readings. Hourly SMN updates on April 17 will refine trader positioning before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
29°C 36%
28°C 27%
30°C 25%
31°C 9%
НОВОЕ
$10,894 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,894 Объем
17 апр. 2026 г.
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
27%
29°C
36%
30°C
25%
31°C
9%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 36%
28°C 27%
30°C 25%
31°C 9%
НОВОЕ
$10,894 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,894 Объем
17 апр. 2026 г.
25°C or below
$1,184 Объем
1%
26°C
$2,678 Объем
1%
27°C
$970 Объем
5%
28°C
$359 Объем
27%
29°C
$467 Объем
36%
30°C
$273 Объем
25%
31°C
$679 Объем
9%
32°C
$801 Объем
3%
33°C
$706 Объем
1%
34°C
$709 Объем
1%
35°C or higher
$2,153 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Mexico City high of 29°C (35.5% implied probability), followed by 30°C (25.5%) and 28°C (22.5%), reflecting the latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), which projects maximum temperatures of 27-29°C for April 17 amid dry-season high pressure and clear skies promoting solar heating. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's baseline April highs average 26-27°C per historical NOAA data, but recent observations through April 16 show consistent 26-28°C peaks with low humidity and minimal cloud cover enhancing daytime insolation. Model ensembles like GFS indicate slight intensification potential from subsiding air, though urban heat island effects add uncertainty to official Ciudad Universitaria station readings. Hourly SMN updates on April 17 will refine trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Объем
$10,894Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Mexico City high of 29°C (35.5% implied probability), followed by 30°C (25.5%) and 28°C (22.5%), reflecting the latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), which projects maximum temperatures of 27-29°C for April 17 amid dry-season high pressure and clear skies promoting solar heating. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's baseline April highs average 26-27°C per historical NOAA data, but recent observations through April 16 show consistent 26-28°C peaks with low humidity and minimal cloud cover enhancing daytime insolation. Model ensembles like GFS indicate slight intensification potential from subsiding air, though urban heat island effects add uncertainty to official Ciudad Universitaria station readings. Hourly SMN updates on April 17 will refine trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$10,894Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Mexico City high of 29°C (35.5% implied probability), followed by 30°C (25.5%) and 28°C (22.5%), reflecting the latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), which projects maximum temperatures of 27-29°C for April 17 amid dry-season high pressure and clear skies promoting solar heating. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's baseline April highs average 26-27°C per historical NOAA data, but recent observations through April 16 show consistent 26-28°C peaks with low humidity and minimal cloud cover enhancing daytime insolation. Model ensembles like GFS indicate slight intensification potential from subsiding air, though urban heat island effects add uncertainty to official Ciudad Universitaria station readings. Hourly SMN updates on April 17 will refine trader positioning before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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