Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Mexico City's highest temperature reaching 25°C or higher on April 29, driven by official forecasts from AccuWeather, Weather.com, and Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional projecting daytime highs of 31–34°C (88–93°F) under persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies. Recent observations at Benito Juárez International Airport confirm this heatwave pattern, with temperatures hovering at 30–32°C over the past week amid seasonal dry conditions and minimal cloud cover, far exceeding April climatological averages of ~26°C. While model consensus is robust, realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorms or measurement discrepancies at official stations, though low-probability precipitation forecasts (under 5%) reinforce the near-certainty as the day progresses toward peak heating around 2–4 PM local time.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 29?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 29?
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$63,073 Объем
$63,073 Объем
29 апр. 2026 г.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
Yes
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$63,073 Объем
$63,073 Объем
29 апр. 2026 г.
15°C or below
$4,180 Объем
No
16°C
$4,648 Объем
No
17°C
$1,064 Объем
No
18°C
$1,040 Объем
No
19°C
$3,044 Объем
No
20°C
$3,749 Объем
No
21°C
$3,663 Объем
No
22°C
$2,926 Объем
No
23°C
$4,322 Объем
No
24°C
$10,168 Объем
No
25°C or higher
$24,270 Объем
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Mexico City's highest temperature reaching 25°C or higher on April 29, driven by official forecasts from AccuWeather, Weather.com, and Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional projecting daytime highs of 31–34°C (88–93°F) under persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies. Recent observations at Benito Juárez International Airport confirm this heatwave pattern, with temperatures hovering at 30–32°C over the past week amid seasonal dry conditions and minimal cloud cover, far exceeding April climatological averages of ~26°C. While model consensus is robust, realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorms or measurement discrepancies at official stations, though low-probability precipitation forecasts (under 5%) reinforce the near-certainty as the day progresses toward peak heating around 2–4 PM local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 27, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Объем
$63,073Дата окончания
29 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 12:13 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Mexico City's highest temperature reaching 25°C or higher on April 29, driven by official forecasts from AccuWeather, Weather.com, and Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional projecting daytime highs of 31–34°C (88–93°F) under persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies. Recent observations at Benito Juárez International Airport confirm this heatwave pattern, with temperatures hovering at 30–32°C over the past week amid seasonal dry conditions and minimal cloud cover, far exceeding April climatological averages of ~26°C. While model consensus is robust, realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorms or measurement discrepancies at official stations, though low-probability precipitation forecasts (under 5%) reinforce the near-certainty as the day progresses toward peak heating around 2–4 PM local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$63,073Дата окончания
29 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 12:13 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Mexico City's highest temperature reaching 25°C or higher on April 29, driven by official forecasts from AccuWeather, Weather.com, and Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional projecting daytime highs of 31–34°C (88–93°F) under persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies. Recent observations at Benito Juárez International Airport confirm this heatwave pattern, with temperatures hovering at 30–32°C over the past week amid seasonal dry conditions and minimal cloud cover, far exceeding April climatological averages of ~26°C. While model consensus is robust, realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorms or measurement discrepancies at official stations, though low-probability precipitation forecasts (under 5%) reinforce the near-certainty as the day progresses toward peak heating around 2–4 PM local time.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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