Official observations from the Malpensa International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm Milan's highest temperature reached exactly 22°C on May 4, 2026, under overcast skies with light winds and no significant precipitation, aligning with early May climatological norms for Lombardy where average highs hover around 22°C. This measurement, derived from standard hourly METAR reports and regional monitoring by ARPA Lombardia, drove trader consensus to 100% market-implied probability for 22°C as final data finalized post-midnight. While robust, positioning could face rare challenges from post hoc data audits revealing sensor anomalies or overlooked peak readings, though such revisions occur in under 1% of cases historically. No further updates expected as the event has passed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Milan on May 4?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 4?
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$137,337 Объем
$137,337 Объем
4 мая 2026 г.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$137,337 Объем
$137,337 Объем
4 мая 2026 г.
16°C or below
$5,763 Объем
No
17°C
$7,568 Объем
No
18°C
$7,588 Объем
No
19°C
$7,904 Объем
No
20°C
$8,437 Объем
No
21°C
$54,105 Объем
No
22°C
$18,915 Объем
Yes
23°C
$15,195 Объем
No
24°C
$6,590 Объем
No
25°C
$3,732 Объем
No
26°C or higher
$1,539 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Malpensa International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm Milan's highest temperature reached exactly 22°C on May 4, 2026, under overcast skies with light winds and no significant precipitation, aligning with early May climatological norms for Lombardy where average highs hover around 22°C. This measurement, derived from standard hourly METAR reports and regional monitoring by ARPA Lombardia, drove trader consensus to 100% market-implied probability for 22°C as final data finalized post-midnight. While robust, positioning could face rare challenges from post hoc data audits revealing sensor anomalies or overlooked peak readings, though such revisions occur in under 1% of cases historically. No further updates expected as the event has passed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Объем
$137,337Дата окончания
4 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Malpensa International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm Milan's highest temperature reached exactly 22°C on May 4, 2026, under overcast skies with light winds and no significant precipitation, aligning with early May climatological norms for Lombardy where average highs hover around 22°C. This measurement, derived from standard hourly METAR reports and regional monitoring by ARPA Lombardia, drove trader consensus to 100% market-implied probability for 22°C as final data finalized post-midnight. While robust, positioning could face rare challenges from post hoc data audits revealing sensor anomalies or overlooked peak readings, though such revisions occur in under 1% of cases historically. No further updates expected as the event has passed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$137,337Дата окончания
4 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official observations from the Malpensa International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm Milan's highest temperature reached exactly 22°C on May 4, 2026, under overcast skies with light winds and no significant precipitation, aligning with early May climatological norms for Lombardy where average highs hover around 22°C. This measurement, derived from standard hourly METAR reports and regional monitoring by ARPA Lombardia, drove trader consensus to 100% market-implied probability for 22°C as final data finalized post-midnight. While robust, positioning could face rare challenges from post hoc data audits revealing sensor anomalies or overlooked peak readings, though such revisions occur in under 1% of cases historically. No further updates expected as the event has passed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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