The closely matched market-implied odds for 33°C and 34°C as Panama City's July 18 high reflect uncertainty in short-range forecast guidance amid the region's typical wet-season convection. Afternoon thunderstorms driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone often limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, with historical July averages near 31–32°C at Tocumen International Airport. Small variations in model consensus on precipitation timing, boundary-layer moisture, or light wind patterns can shift the daily maximum by 1°C, while ENSO-neutral conditions provide no strong large-scale signal. Traders are monitoring the next GFS and ECMWF runs plus local Panamanian meteorological updates for clearer resolution criteria on the exact peak reading.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Панама-Сити 18 июля?
33°C 100.0%
28°C или ниже <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$33,157 Объем
$33,157 Объем
28°C или ниже
Нет
29°C
Нет
30°C
Нет
31°C
Нет
32°C
Нет
33°C
Да
34°C
Нет
35°C
Нет
36°C
Нет
37°C
Нет
38°C или выше
Нет
33°C 100.0%
28°C или ниже <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$33,157 Объем
$33,157 Объем
28°C или ниже
Нет
29°C
Нет
30°C
Нет
31°C
Нет
32°C
Нет
33°C
Да
34°C
Нет
35°C
Нет
36°C
Нет
37°C
Нет
38°C или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The closely matched market-implied odds for 33°C and 34°C as Panama City's July 18 high reflect uncertainty in short-range forecast guidance amid the region's typical wet-season convection. Afternoon thunderstorms driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone often limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, with historical July averages near 31–32°C at Tocumen International Airport. Small variations in model consensus on precipitation timing, boundary-layer moisture, or light wind patterns can shift the daily maximum by 1°C, while ENSO-neutral conditions provide no strong large-scale signal. Traders are monitoring the next GFS and ECMWF runs plus local Panamanian meteorological updates for clearer resolution criteria on the exact peak reading.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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