Forecast models from Météo-France and GFS runs indicate a high near 21–22°C in Paris on September 9, driven by northwest winds of 10–15 km/h, variable cloud cover limiting solar heating, and morning lows around 13–15°C. These conditions align with the climatological average high of 22.4°C for the date while suppressing stronger warming. Real-time observations showing gradual afternoon rises to the low 20s have reinforced trader consensus on the 21°C outcome at 62.5% implied probability, with 22°C holding secondary support at 30%. Minor model spread on peak timing and cloud persistence keeps lower or higher thresholds at single-digit odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 9 сентября?
21°C 63%
22°C 30%
20°C 9%
23°C 3%
$29,560 Объем
$29,560 Объем
16°C или ниже
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
9%
21°C
63%
22°C
30%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C или выше
<1%
21°C 63%
22°C 30%
20°C 9%
23°C 3%
$29,560 Объем
$29,560 Объем
16°C или ниже
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
9%
21°C
63%
22°C
30%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 7, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Météo-France and GFS runs indicate a high near 21–22°C in Paris on September 9, driven by northwest winds of 10–15 km/h, variable cloud cover limiting solar heating, and morning lows around 13–15°C. These conditions align with the climatological average high of 22.4°C for the date while suppressing stronger warming. Real-time observations showing gradual afternoon rises to the low 20s have reinforced trader consensus on the 21°C outcome at 62.5% implied probability, with 22°C holding secondary support at 30%. Minor model spread on peak timing and cloud persistence keeps lower or higher thresholds at single-digit odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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