Official meteorological observations across Istanbul stations on September 11, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 25°C under clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow, establishing the strong market consensus at that exact threshold. This aligns with seasonal norms for early autumn, where average highs hover near 25°C, and numerical weather models showed tight agreement without significant diurnal spikes or localized warming. The implied probability exceeding 99% reflects trader confidence in verified station data over broader forecasts. A revised official reading from a primary reference station or measurement protocol change could still alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare once daily records close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 11 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 11 сентября?
25°C 100.0%
21°C или ниже <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$27,247 Объем
$27,247 Объем
11 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Да
26°C
Нет
27°C
Нет
28°C
Нет
29°C
Нет
30°C
Нет
31°C или выше
Нет
25°C 100.0%
21°C или ниже <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$27,247 Объем
$27,247 Объем
11 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
$416 Объем
Нет
22°C
$343 Объем
Нет
23°C
$207 Объем
Нет
24°C
$1,890 Объем
Нет
25°C
$8,443 Объем
Да
26°C
$4,115 Объем
Нет
27°C
$2,300 Объем
Нет
28°C
$2,197 Объем
Нет
29°C
$2,778 Объем
Нет
30°C
$4,298 Объем
Нет
31°C или выше
$261 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations across Istanbul stations on September 11, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 25°C under clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow, establishing the strong market consensus at that exact threshold. This aligns with seasonal norms for early autumn, where average highs hover near 25°C, and numerical weather models showed tight agreement without significant diurnal spikes or localized warming. The implied probability exceeding 99% reflects trader confidence in verified station data over broader forecasts. A revised official reading from a primary reference station or measurement protocol change could still alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare once daily records close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$27,247Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations across Istanbul stations on September 11, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 25°C under clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow, establishing the strong market consensus at that exact threshold. This aligns with seasonal norms for early autumn, where average highs hover near 25°C, and numerical weather models showed tight agreement without significant diurnal spikes or localized warming. The implied probability exceeding 99% reflects trader confidence in verified station data over broader forecasts. A revised official reading from a primary reference station or measurement protocol change could still alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare once daily records close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$27,247Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Official meteorological observations across Istanbul stations on September 11, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 25°C under clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow, establishing the strong market consensus at that exact threshold. This aligns with seasonal norms for early autumn, where average highs hover near 25°C, and numerical weather models showed tight agreement without significant diurnal spikes or localized warming. The implied probability exceeding 99% reflects trader confidence in verified station data over broader forecasts. A revised official reading from a primary reference station or measurement protocol change could still alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare once daily records close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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