Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts point to a maximum of 20–21°C in Amsterdam on September 11, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge advecting mild maritime air with light winds and partial cloud cover. This range matches climatological norms for mid-September, when daily highs typically span 18–22°C. Recent ensemble runs show tight clustering around these values, with limited spread from minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or brief frontal influences. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, assigning lower probabilities to warmer or cooler outliers pending the next model updates from KNMI and ECMWF.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Амстердаме 11 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Амстердаме 11 сентября?
20°C 60%
21°C 28%
19°C 11%
22°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
11%
20°C
60%
21°C
28%
22°C
4%
23°C
1%
24°C или выше
<1%
20°C 60%
21°C 28%
19°C 11%
22°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
$154 Объем
<1%
15°C
$146 Объем
<1%
16°C
$166 Объем
<1%
17°C
$189 Объем
2%
18°C
$356 Объем
3%
19°C
$639 Объем
11%
20°C
$1,661 Объем
60%
21°C
$1,983 Объем
28%
22°C
$644 Объем
4%
23°C
$1,062 Объем
1%
24°C или выше
$450 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts point to a maximum of 20–21°C in Amsterdam on September 11, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge advecting mild maritime air with light winds and partial cloud cover. This range matches climatological norms for mid-September, when daily highs typically span 18–22°C. Recent ensemble runs show tight clustering around these values, with limited spread from minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or brief frontal influences. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, assigning lower probabilities to warmer or cooler outliers pending the next model updates from KNMI and ECMWF.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$7,451Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts point to a maximum of 20–21°C in Amsterdam on September 11, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge advecting mild maritime air with light winds and partial cloud cover. This range matches climatological norms for mid-September, when daily highs typically span 18–22°C. Recent ensemble runs show tight clustering around these values, with limited spread from minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or brief frontal influences. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, assigning lower probabilities to warmer or cooler outliers pending the next model updates from KNMI and ECMWF.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,451Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts point to a maximum of 20–21°C in Amsterdam on September 11, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge advecting mild maritime air with light winds and partial cloud cover. This range matches climatological norms for mid-September, when daily highs typically span 18–22°C. Recent ensemble runs show tight clustering around these values, with limited spread from minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or brief frontal influences. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, assigning lower probabilities to warmer or cooler outliers pending the next model updates from KNMI and ECMWF.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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