Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for a high temperature of 70°F or higher in San Francisco on April 19, driven by confirmed hourly observations from the National Weather Service at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), where temperatures peaked above 70°F amid clear skies, light offshore winds, and high pressure ridging that suppressed the typical marine layer. This exceeded the April climatological average of 64°F, as model guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System had anticipated above-normal warmth from persistent ridging over California. Scenarios challenging this include a rare official revision in the forthcoming Local Climatological Report—due today—if preliminary METAR data overstated the peak due to sensor anomaly, though multiple station validations make this improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 19?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 19?
70°F or higher 100.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$79,974 Объем
$79,974 Объем
19 апр. 2026 г.
51°F or below
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70°F or higher
Yes
70°F or higher 100.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$79,974 Объем
$79,974 Объем
19 апр. 2026 г.
51°F or below
$1,584 Объем
No
52-53°F
$2,544 Объем
No
54-55°F
$3,872 Объем
No
56-57°F
$1,230 Объем
No
58-59°F
$2,656 Объем
No
60-61°F
$4,636 Объем
No
62-63°F
$5,067 Объем
No
64-65°F
$5,851 Объем
No
66-67°F
$6,398 Объем
No
68-69°F
$32,141 Объем
No
70°F or higher
$13,995 Объем
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for a high temperature of 70°F or higher in San Francisco on April 19, driven by confirmed hourly observations from the National Weather Service at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), where temperatures peaked above 70°F amid clear skies, light offshore winds, and high pressure ridging that suppressed the typical marine layer. This exceeded the April climatological average of 64°F, as model guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System had anticipated above-normal warmth from persistent ridging over California. Scenarios challenging this include a rare official revision in the forthcoming Local Climatological Report—due today—if preliminary METAR data overstated the peak due to sensor anomaly, though multiple station validations make this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 17, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
Объем
$79,974Дата окончания
19 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 17, 2026, 12:44 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for a high temperature of 70°F or higher in San Francisco on April 19, driven by confirmed hourly observations from the National Weather Service at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), where temperatures peaked above 70°F amid clear skies, light offshore winds, and high pressure ridging that suppressed the typical marine layer. This exceeded the April climatological average of 64°F, as model guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System had anticipated above-normal warmth from persistent ridging over California. Scenarios challenging this include a rare official revision in the forthcoming Local Climatological Report—due today—if preliminary METAR data overstated the peak due to sensor anomaly, though multiple station validations make this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$79,974Дата окончания
19 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 17, 2026, 12:44 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for a high temperature of 70°F or higher in San Francisco on April 19, driven by confirmed hourly observations from the National Weather Service at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), where temperatures peaked above 70°F amid clear skies, light offshore winds, and high pressure ridging that suppressed the typical marine layer. This exceeded the April climatological average of 64°F, as model guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System had anticipated above-normal warmth from persistent ridging over California. Scenarios challenging this include a rare official revision in the forthcoming Local Climatological Report—due today—if preliminary METAR data overstated the peak due to sensor anomaly, though multiple station validations make this improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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