Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 62-63°F high in San Francisco on April 27, backed by official Automated Surface Observing System data from San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), which recorded a peak of 62°F mid-afternoon amid persistent westerly winds of 10-25 mph gusting to 33 mph and a stubborn marine layer advecting cool Pacific air. This aligns with the city's coastal microclimate, where onshore flow suppresses daytime heating below the late-April climatological average of 66°F, as seen in recent days' 58-61°F highs. National Weather Service summaries confirm a 63°F maximum with hazy conditions and no precipitation. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post-verification revision by Weather Underground, the resolution source, could shift it, pending final dataset lock.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 27?
62-63°F 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$52,043 Объем
$52,043 Объем
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
Yes
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
No
62-63°F 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$52,043 Объем
$52,043 Объем
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
Yes
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 25, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 62-63°F high in San Francisco on April 27, backed by official Automated Surface Observing System data from San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), which recorded a peak of 62°F mid-afternoon amid persistent westerly winds of 10-25 mph gusting to 33 mph and a stubborn marine layer advecting cool Pacific air. This aligns with the city's coastal microclimate, where onshore flow suppresses daytime heating below the late-April climatological average of 66°F, as seen in recent days' 58-61°F highs. National Weather Service summaries confirm a 63°F maximum with hazy conditions and no precipitation. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post-verification revision by Weather Underground, the resolution source, could shift it, pending final dataset lock.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы