Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office, Yr.no, and regional models converge on a daytime high of 27–28°C for São Paulo on August 27, 2026, with light northeasterly winds, mostly sunny to clear skies, and minimal precipitation risk. This supports the market's leading 28°C outcome at 49% implied probability, as models show gradual warming after cooler conditions earlier in the week driven by northerly flow and reduced cloud cover enhancing daytime heating. Historical August baselines near 22–25°C provide context for the elevated readings, while minor model spreads account for the secondary probabilities on 27°C and 29°C. Updated guidance through the evening of August 26 will refine the final maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 27 августа?
28°C 49%
29°C 23%
27°C 22%
26°C 7%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
7%
27°C
22%
28°C
49%
29°C
23%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
2%
28°C 49%
29°C 23%
27°C 22%
26°C 7%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
7%
27°C
22%
28°C
49%
29°C
23%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 25, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office, Yr.no, and regional models converge on a daytime high of 27–28°C for São Paulo on August 27, 2026, with light northeasterly winds, mostly sunny to clear skies, and minimal precipitation risk. This supports the market's leading 28°C outcome at 49% implied probability, as models show gradual warming after cooler conditions earlier in the week driven by northerly flow and reduced cloud cover enhancing daytime heating. Historical August baselines near 22–25°C provide context for the elevated readings, while minor model spreads account for the secondary probabilities on 27°C and 29°C. Updated guidance through the evening of August 26 will refine the final maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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