Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a near-certain 100% implied probability for a 29°C high temperature in Shenzhen on May 2, backed by real-time observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport and short-range forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and China Meteorological Administration. Cloudy skies with intermittent showers and southeast sea breezes at force 2-3 limited solar insolation and convective heating, capping peaks consistent with yesterday's 27°C high amid lingering post-rain humidity above 80%. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles align on this outcome, reflecting early May climatology where average highs hover near 29°C. Realistic challenges—such as unexpected afternoon clearing boosting urban heat island effects to 30°C—grow improbable as the day ends, with final airport data set to confirm resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 2?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 2?
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$63,301 Объем
$63,301 Объем
2 мая 2026 г.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$63,301 Объем
$63,301 Объем
2 мая 2026 г.
22°C or below
$1,775 Объем
No
23°C
$6,671 Объем
No
24°C
$1,278 Объем
No
25°C
$2,144 Объем
No
26°C
$2,606 Объем
No
27°C
$4,757 Объем
No
28°C
$17,729 Объем
No
29°C
$8,085 Объем
Yes
30°C
$6,992 Объем
No
31°C
$5,799 Объем
No
32°C or higher
$5,466 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a near-certain 100% implied probability for a 29°C high temperature in Shenzhen on May 2, backed by real-time observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport and short-range forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and China Meteorological Administration. Cloudy skies with intermittent showers and southeast sea breezes at force 2-3 limited solar insolation and convective heating, capping peaks consistent with yesterday's 27°C high amid lingering post-rain humidity above 80%. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles align on this outcome, reflecting early May climatology where average highs hover near 29°C. Realistic challenges—such as unexpected afternoon clearing boosting urban heat island effects to 30°C—grow improbable as the day ends, with final airport data set to confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Объем
$63,301Дата окончания
2 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a near-certain 100% implied probability for a 29°C high temperature in Shenzhen on May 2, backed by real-time observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport and short-range forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and China Meteorological Administration. Cloudy skies with intermittent showers and southeast sea breezes at force 2-3 limited solar insolation and convective heating, capping peaks consistent with yesterday's 27°C high amid lingering post-rain humidity above 80%. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles align on this outcome, reflecting early May climatology where average highs hover near 29°C. Realistic challenges—such as unexpected afternoon clearing boosting urban heat island effects to 30°C—grow improbable as the day ends, with final airport data set to confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$63,301Дата окончания
2 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a near-certain 100% implied probability for a 29°C high temperature in Shenzhen on May 2, backed by real-time observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport and short-range forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and China Meteorological Administration. Cloudy skies with intermittent showers and southeast sea breezes at force 2-3 limited solar insolation and convective heating, capping peaks consistent with yesterday's 27°C high amid lingering post-rain humidity above 80%. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles align on this outcome, reflecting early May climatology where average highs hover near 29°C. Realistic challenges—such as unexpected afternoon clearing boosting urban heat island effects to 30°C—grow improbable as the day ends, with final airport data set to confirm resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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