Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate a typical late-summer eastern Mediterranean pattern for Tel Aviv on August 25, with mostly clear skies, moderate westerly flow, and sea-breeze moderation limiting peak heating. This setup supports maximum temperatures near 32–34 °C, consistent with August climatological normals of 31–32 °C and explaining the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (54.5 % implied probability) and 34 °C (32 %). Minor ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and insolation keeps lower probabilities on 32 °C and 35 °C, while extremes remain negligible absent heat advection or anomalous clear-sky conditions. Updated model guidance ahead of the event will refine these thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 25 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 25 августа?
33°C 55%
34°C 32%
32°C 12%
36°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 авг. 2026 г.
29°C or below
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
12%
33°C
55%
34°C
32%
35°C
5%
36°C
5%
37°C
4%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
2%
33°C 55%
34°C 32%
32°C 12%
36°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 авг. 2026 г.
29°C or below
$27 Объем
4%
30°C
$44 Объем
3%
31°C
$113 Объем
3%
32°C
$71 Объем
12%
33°C
$152 Объем
55%
34°C
$73 Объем
32%
35°C
$36 Объем
5%
36°C
$10 Объем
5%
37°C
$10 Объем
4%
38°C
$5 Объем
2%
39°C or higher
$5 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate a typical late-summer eastern Mediterranean pattern for Tel Aviv on August 25, with mostly clear skies, moderate westerly flow, and sea-breeze moderation limiting peak heating. This setup supports maximum temperatures near 32–34 °C, consistent with August climatological normals of 31–32 °C and explaining the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (54.5 % implied probability) and 34 °C (32 %). Minor ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and insolation keeps lower probabilities on 32 °C and 35 °C, while extremes remain negligible absent heat advection or anomalous clear-sky conditions. Updated model guidance ahead of the event will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$546Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate a typical late-summer eastern Mediterranean pattern for Tel Aviv on August 25, with mostly clear skies, moderate westerly flow, and sea-breeze moderation limiting peak heating. This setup supports maximum temperatures near 32–34 °C, consistent with August climatological normals of 31–32 °C and explaining the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (54.5 % implied probability) and 34 °C (32 %). Minor ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and insolation keeps lower probabilities on 32 °C and 35 °C, while extremes remain negligible absent heat advection or anomalous clear-sky conditions. Updated model guidance ahead of the event will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$546Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate a typical late-summer eastern Mediterranean pattern for Tel Aviv on August 25, with mostly clear skies, moderate westerly flow, and sea-breeze moderation limiting peak heating. This setup supports maximum temperatures near 32–34 °C, consistent with August climatological normals of 31–32 °C and explaining the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (54.5 % implied probability) and 34 °C (32 %). Minor ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and insolation keeps lower probabilities on 32 °C and 35 °C, while extremes remain negligible absent heat advection or anomalous clear-sky conditions. Updated model guidance ahead of the event will refine these thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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