Official meteorological observations from Warsaw stations recorded a daily maximum of 20°C on May 31, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This result matches ensemble numerical weather prediction guidance from European centers and typical late-May climatological norms under stable high-pressure systems that limited warm-air advection from the south. Late-spring baseline temperatures in the region average near 20°C, with limited day-to-day variability absent strong frontal passages. Scenarios that could realistically shift resolution include post-analysis revisions to station data, localized measurement differences at the primary observing site, or unexpected model-observation discrepancies, though current verified readings support the tight consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 31?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 31?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$51,740 Объем
$51,740 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$51,740 Объем
$51,740 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
15°C or below
$196 Объем
No
16°C
$239 Объем
No
17°C
$2,392 Объем
No
18°C
$5,360 Объем
No
19°C
$7,371 Объем
No
20°C
$11,523 Объем
Yes
21°C
$5,588 Объем
No
22°C
$6,222 Объем
No
23°C
$5,735 Объем
No
24°C
$5,087 Объем
No
25°C or higher
$2,027 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Warsaw stations recorded a daily maximum of 20°C on May 31, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This result matches ensemble numerical weather prediction guidance from European centers and typical late-May climatological norms under stable high-pressure systems that limited warm-air advection from the south. Late-spring baseline temperatures in the region average near 20°C, with limited day-to-day variability absent strong frontal passages. Scenarios that could realistically shift resolution include post-analysis revisions to station data, localized measurement differences at the primary observing site, or unexpected model-observation discrepancies, though current verified readings support the tight consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: May 29, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Объем
$51,740Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 29, 2026, 12:13 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Warsaw stations recorded a daily maximum of 20°C on May 31, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This result matches ensemble numerical weather prediction guidance from European centers and typical late-May climatological norms under stable high-pressure systems that limited warm-air advection from the south. Late-spring baseline temperatures in the region average near 20°C, with limited day-to-day variability absent strong frontal passages. Scenarios that could realistically shift resolution include post-analysis revisions to station data, localized measurement differences at the primary observing site, or unexpected model-observation discrepancies, though current verified readings support the tight consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$51,740Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 29, 2026, 12:13 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official meteorological observations from Warsaw stations recorded a daily maximum of 20°C on May 31, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This result matches ensemble numerical weather prediction guidance from European centers and typical late-May climatological norms under stable high-pressure systems that limited warm-air advection from the south. Late-spring baseline temperatures in the region average near 20°C, with limited day-to-day variability absent strong frontal passages. Scenarios that could realistically shift resolution include post-analysis revisions to station data, localized measurement differences at the primary observing site, or unexpected model-observation discrepancies, though current verified readings support the tight consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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