Official observations from Wellington International Airport confirm a midday peak of 17°C on May 6, 2026, under persistent mostly cloudy skies, high 90% humidity, and gusty northerlies at 30+ km/h, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. MetService forecasts align precisely, projecting no higher than 17°C as cloud cover suppresses solar heating despite northerly winds advecting milder maritime air above the climatological May average of 15–16°C. Ensemble model consensus shows minimal upside risk, with showers north of the harbor further capping temperatures. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-afternoon clearing for rapid insolation-driven warming to 18°C or 19°C before sunset around 5 PM, though current trajectories make this unlikely; final airport data expected post-midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on May 6?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 6?
17°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$113,195 Объем
$113,195 Объем
6 мая 2026 г.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$113,195 Объем
$113,195 Объем
6 мая 2026 г.
10°C or below
$11,572 Объем
No
11°C
$10,693 Объем
No
12°C
$8,952 Объем
No
13°C
$1,489 Объем
No
14°C
$2,811 Объем
No
15°C
$6,602 Объем
No
16°C
$19,190 Объем
No
17°C
$17,127 Объем
Yes
18°C
$17,684 Объем
No
19°C
$13,665 Объем
No
20°C or higher
$3,410 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Wellington International Airport confirm a midday peak of 17°C on May 6, 2026, under persistent mostly cloudy skies, high 90% humidity, and gusty northerlies at 30+ km/h, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. MetService forecasts align precisely, projecting no higher than 17°C as cloud cover suppresses solar heating despite northerly winds advecting milder maritime air above the climatological May average of 15–16°C. Ensemble model consensus shows minimal upside risk, with showers north of the harbor further capping temperatures. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-afternoon clearing for rapid insolation-driven warming to 18°C or 19°C before sunset around 5 PM, though current trajectories make this unlikely; final airport data expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 4, 2026, 12:36 PM ET
Объем
$113,195Дата окончания
6 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 12:36 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Wellington International Airport confirm a midday peak of 17°C on May 6, 2026, under persistent mostly cloudy skies, high 90% humidity, and gusty northerlies at 30+ km/h, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. MetService forecasts align precisely, projecting no higher than 17°C as cloud cover suppresses solar heating despite northerly winds advecting milder maritime air above the climatological May average of 15–16°C. Ensemble model consensus shows minimal upside risk, with showers north of the harbor further capping temperatures. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-afternoon clearing for rapid insolation-driven warming to 18°C or 19°C before sunset around 5 PM, though current trajectories make this unlikely; final airport data expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$113,195Дата окончания
6 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 12:36 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official observations from Wellington International Airport confirm a midday peak of 17°C on May 6, 2026, under persistent mostly cloudy skies, high 90% humidity, and gusty northerlies at 30+ km/h, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. MetService forecasts align precisely, projecting no higher than 17°C as cloud cover suppresses solar heating despite northerly winds advecting milder maritime air above the climatological May average of 15–16°C. Ensemble model consensus shows minimal upside risk, with showers north of the harbor further capping temperatures. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-afternoon clearing for rapid insolation-driven warming to 18°C or 19°C before sunset around 5 PM, though current trajectories make this unlikely; final airport data expected post-midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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