Current forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international providers show Zhengzhou under cloudy skies with possible thundershowers on August 17, limiting peak heating and supporting highs near 31°C amid typical late-summer monsoon moisture. This positions the 32°C-or-higher outcome at 48.5% implied probability as a near-even contest driven by model spread on cloud cover and timing of any convection, while lower bins reflect the cooling effect of precipitation and humidity. Historical August averages near 31–33°C highs provide context, with recent observational trends showing no unusual heat wave but standard variability from steering patterns and local urban effects. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чжэнчжоу 17 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Чжэнчжоу 17 августа?
32°C or higher 49%
31°C 27%
30°C 13%
29°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
6%
28°C
9%
29°C
11%
30°C
13%
31°C
28%
32°C or higher
49%
32°C or higher 49%
31°C 27%
30°C 13%
29°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$212 Объем
<1%
23°C
$106 Объем
<1%
24°C
$106 Объем
<1%
25°C
$106 Объем
<1%
26°C
$10 Объем
4%
27°C
$10 Объем
6%
28°C
$2 Объем
9%
29°C
$1 Объем
11%
30°C
$1 Объем
13%
31°C
$6 Объем
28%
32°C or higher
$0 Объем
49%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international providers show Zhengzhou under cloudy skies with possible thundershowers on August 17, limiting peak heating and supporting highs near 31°C amid typical late-summer monsoon moisture. This positions the 32°C-or-higher outcome at 48.5% implied probability as a near-even contest driven by model spread on cloud cover and timing of any convection, while lower bins reflect the cooling effect of precipitation and humidity. Historical August averages near 31–33°C highs provide context, with recent observational trends showing no unusual heat wave but standard variability from steering patterns and local urban effects. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Объем
$560Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international providers show Zhengzhou under cloudy skies with possible thundershowers on August 17, limiting peak heating and supporting highs near 31°C amid typical late-summer monsoon moisture. This positions the 32°C-or-higher outcome at 48.5% implied probability as a near-even contest driven by model spread on cloud cover and timing of any convection, while lower bins reflect the cooling effect of precipitation and humidity. Historical August averages near 31–33°C highs provide context, with recent observational trends showing no unusual heat wave but standard variability from steering patterns and local urban effects. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$560Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international providers show Zhengzhou under cloudy skies with possible thundershowers on August 17, limiting peak heating and supporting highs near 31°C amid typical late-summer monsoon moisture. This positions the 32°C-or-higher outcome at 48.5% implied probability as a near-even contest driven by model spread on cloud cover and timing of any convection, while lower bins reflect the cooling effect of precipitation and humidity. Historical August averages near 31–33°C highs provide context, with recent observational trends showing no unusual heat wave but standard variability from steering patterns and local urban effects. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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