Current numerical weather models project afternoon highs of 32–33°C in Zhengzhou on August 23, aligning with the market's dominant 79.5% implied probability for 32°C or higher. Late-summer conditions over the North China Plain feature typical seasonal warmth, elevated humidity, and limited synoptic cooling, sustaining these readings despite scattered thundershowers that could cap peaks. This outlook matches August climatology, where daily highs commonly reach the low 30s°C, with recent regional heat across Henan reinforcing trader consensus. Minor forecast variability around shower timing accounts for secondary probabilities near 31°C, while lower outcomes remain negligible absent an unexpected frontal passage.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чжэнчжоу 23 августа?
32°C or higher 85%
31°C 14%
29°C 8%
30°C 5%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
8%
30°C
11%
31°C
14%
32°C or higher
79%
32°C or higher 85%
31°C 14%
29°C 8%
30°C 5%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
8%
30°C
11%
31°C
14%
32°C or higher
79%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models project afternoon highs of 32–33°C in Zhengzhou on August 23, aligning with the market's dominant 79.5% implied probability for 32°C or higher. Late-summer conditions over the North China Plain feature typical seasonal warmth, elevated humidity, and limited synoptic cooling, sustaining these readings despite scattered thundershowers that could cap peaks. This outlook matches August climatology, where daily highs commonly reach the low 30s°C, with recent regional heat across Henan reinforcing trader consensus. Minor forecast variability around shower timing accounts for secondary probabilities near 31°C, while lower outcomes remain negligible absent an unexpected frontal passage.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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