**Trader consensus strongly favors 32°C or higher for Zhengzhou’s August 24 maximum, driven by persistent summer heat and model consensus projecting afternoon peaks near or above that threshold despite scattered thunderstorms.** Official forecasts from multiple sources indicate highs of 31–33°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with 60–90% rain chances, typical for late-August conditions in Henan where the subtropical high maintains elevated temperatures and humidity. Recent days have seen similar or higher readings (up to 34–35°C), supporting the market-implied odds. Heavy or prolonged rainfall could limit daytime warming by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, potentially keeping the official maximum below 32°C if convective activity intensifies earlier than expected. Updated model runs and surface observations closer to peak heating will be the key variables for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чжэнчжоу 24 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Чжэнчжоу 24 августа?
32°C or higher 99.6%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
32°C or higher 99.6%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$225 Объем
<1%
23°C
$125 Объем
<1%
24°C
$205 Объем
<1%
25°C
$205 Объем
<1%
26°C
$125 Объем
<1%
27°C
$205 Объем
<1%
28°C
$200 Объем
<1%
29°C
$757 Объем
<1%
30°C
$407 Объем
<1%
31°C
$391 Объем
<1%
32°C or higher
$316 Объем
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 32°C or higher for Zhengzhou’s August 24 maximum, driven by persistent summer heat and model consensus projecting afternoon peaks near or above that threshold despite scattered thunderstorms.**
Official forecasts from multiple sources indicate highs of 31–33°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with 60–90% rain chances, typical for late-August conditions in Henan where the subtropical high maintains elevated temperatures and humidity. Recent days have seen similar or higher readings (up to 34–35°C), supporting the market-implied odds. Heavy or prolonged rainfall could limit daytime warming by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, potentially keeping the official maximum below 32°C if convective activity intensifies earlier than expected. Updated model runs and surface observations closer to peak heating will be the key variables for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Объем
$3,160Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 32°C or higher for Zhengzhou’s August 24 maximum, driven by persistent summer heat and model consensus projecting afternoon peaks near or above that threshold despite scattered thunderstorms.**
Official forecasts from multiple sources indicate highs of 31–33°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with 60–90% rain chances, typical for late-August conditions in Henan where the subtropical high maintains elevated temperatures and humidity. Recent days have seen similar or higher readings (up to 34–35°C), supporting the market-implied odds. Heavy or prolonged rainfall could limit daytime warming by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, potentially keeping the official maximum below 32°C if convective activity intensifies earlier than expected. Updated model runs and surface observations closer to peak heating will be the key variables for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,160Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors 32°C or higher for Zhengzhou’s August 24 maximum, driven by persistent summer heat and model consensus projecting afternoon peaks near or above that threshold despite scattered thunderstorms.** Official forecasts from multiple sources indicate highs of 31–33°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with 60–90% rain chances, typical for late-August conditions in Henan where the subtropical high maintains elevated temperatures and humidity. Recent days have seen similar or higher readings (up to 34–35°C), supporting the market-implied odds. Heavy or prolonged rainfall could limit daytime warming by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, potentially keeping the official maximum below 32°C if convective activity intensifies earlier than expected. Updated model runs and surface observations closer to peak heating will be the key variables for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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