Democratic incumbent Jonathan Jackson secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with minimal opposition and faces Republican nominee Christian Maxwell in the November general election for Illinois’s 1st congressional district. The district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and Jackson’s 65.8 percent share of the 2024 vote, underpins trader consensus around a wide Democratic margin. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic. No significant recent developments have altered the underlying electoral math. A major national political realignment or late-cycle event could theoretically narrow the gap, though such shifts would need to overcome entrenched local voting patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей IL-01
$40,362 Объем
$40,362 Объем
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
2%
$40,362 Объем
$40,362 Объем
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
2%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Jonathan Jackson secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with minimal opposition and faces Republican nominee Christian Maxwell in the November general election for Illinois’s 1st congressional district. The district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and Jackson’s 65.8 percent share of the 2024 vote, underpins trader consensus around a wide Democratic margin. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic. No significant recent developments have altered the underlying electoral math. A major national political realignment or late-cycle event could theoretically narrow the gap, though such shifts would need to overcome entrenched local voting patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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