Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding position in the Illinois 1st congressional district race heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic performance and limited Republican infrastructure. Jackson won reelection in 2024 by more than 30 points in a district that also supported the Democratic presidential nominee by a wide margin, and he advanced from the March 2026 primary with minimal opposition. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell secured her party’s nomination but faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters, with modest reported fundraising and visibility. Trader consensus prices in these fundamentals, including historical margins and the absence of recent polling shifts or major events that would alter the baseline. A narrow path for Maxwell would require an unusually large national Republican surge or a significant, unforeseen development involving the incumbent in the final weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей IL-01
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей IL-01
$54,755 Объем
$54,755 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джонатан Джексон (Д)
96%
Кристиан Максвелл (Р)
4%
$54,755 Объем
$54,755 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джонатан Джексон (Д)
$30,061 Объем
96%
Кристиан Максвелл (Р)
$24,694 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding position in the Illinois 1st congressional district race heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic performance and limited Republican infrastructure. Jackson won reelection in 2024 by more than 30 points in a district that also supported the Democratic presidential nominee by a wide margin, and he advanced from the March 2026 primary with minimal opposition. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell secured her party’s nomination but faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters, with modest reported fundraising and visibility. Trader consensus prices in these fundamentals, including historical margins and the absence of recent polling shifts or major events that would alter the baseline. A narrow path for Maxwell would require an unusually large national Republican surge or a significant, unforeseen development involving the incumbent in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Объем
$54,755Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding position in the Illinois 1st congressional district race heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic performance and limited Republican infrastructure. Jackson won reelection in 2024 by more than 30 points in a district that also supported the Democratic presidential nominee by a wide margin, and he advanced from the March 2026 primary with minimal opposition. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell secured her party’s nomination but faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters, with modest reported fundraising and visibility. Trader consensus prices in these fundamentals, including historical margins and the absence of recent polling shifts or major events that would alter the baseline. A narrow path for Maxwell would require an unusually large national Republican surge or a significant, unforeseen development involving the incumbent in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$54,755Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding position in the Illinois 1st congressional district race heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic performance and limited Republican infrastructure. Jackson won reelection in 2024 by more than 30 points in a district that also supported the Democratic presidential nominee by a wide margin, and he advanced from the March 2026 primary with minimal opposition. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell secured her party’s nomination but faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters, with modest reported fundraising and visibility. Trader consensus prices in these fundamentals, including historical margins and the absence of recent polling shifts or major events that would alter the baseline. A narrow path for Maxwell would require an unusually large national Republican surge or a significant, unforeseen development involving the incumbent in the final weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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