Current forecast models for Austin show significant uncertainty in overnight low temperatures on August 24 amid a persistent heat dome and potential tropical moisture influences, driving closely matched market odds between 73°F or below and 92°F or higher. Key scientific factors include variations in radiative cooling rates, dew point levels near 70°F limiting temperature drops, light winds reducing mixing, and cloud cover from any incoming systems. Historical August climatology places average lows near 75°F, but recent above-normal heat and model spreads in steering patterns create divergence in projected minima. Updated National Weather Service and NOAA runs ahead of the date will likely clarify the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Остине 24 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Остине 24 августа?
92°F или выше 90%
73°F или ниже 47%
84-85°F 36%
86-87°F 36%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
73°F или ниже
47%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
19%
78–79°F
19%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
36%
86-87°F
36%
88-89°F
36%
90-91°F
36%
92°F или выше
90%
92°F или выше 90%
73°F или ниже 47%
84-85°F 36%
86-87°F 36%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
73°F или ниже
$0 Объем
47%
74-75°F
$0 Объем
20%
76-77°F
$0 Объем
19%
78–79°F
$0 Объем
19%
80-81°F
$0 Объем
19%
82-83°F
$4 Объем
19%
84-85°F
$5 Объем
36%
86-87°F
$5 Объем
36%
88-89°F
$5 Объем
36%
90-91°F
$5 Объем
36%
92°F или выше
$5 Объем
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Austin show significant uncertainty in overnight low temperatures on August 24 amid a persistent heat dome and potential tropical moisture influences, driving closely matched market odds between 73°F or below and 92°F or higher. Key scientific factors include variations in radiative cooling rates, dew point levels near 70°F limiting temperature drops, light winds reducing mixing, and cloud cover from any incoming systems. Historical August climatology places average lows near 75°F, but recent above-normal heat and model spreads in steering patterns create divergence in projected minima. Updated National Weather Service and NOAA runs ahead of the date will likely clarify the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Объем
$29Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Austin show significant uncertainty in overnight low temperatures on August 24 amid a persistent heat dome and potential tropical moisture influences, driving closely matched market odds between 73°F or below and 92°F or higher. Key scientific factors include variations in radiative cooling rates, dew point levels near 70°F limiting temperature drops, light winds reducing mixing, and cloud cover from any incoming systems. Historical August climatology places average lows near 75°F, but recent above-normal heat and model spreads in steering patterns create divergence in projected minima. Updated National Weather Service and NOAA runs ahead of the date will likely clarify the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$29Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models for Austin show significant uncertainty in overnight low temperatures on August 24 amid a persistent heat dome and potential tropical moisture influences, driving closely matched market odds between 73°F or below and 92°F or higher. Key scientific factors include variations in radiative cooling rates, dew point levels near 70°F limiting temperature drops, light winds reducing mixing, and cloud cover from any incoming systems. Historical August climatology places average lows near 75°F, but recent above-normal heat and model spreads in steering patterns create divergence in projected minima. Updated National Weather Service and NOAA runs ahead of the date will likely clarify the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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