Persistent south winds near 5 mph, mostly clear skies, and elevated dew points near 70–75°F are sustaining overnight lows in the mid to upper 70s across Austin on September 9. Multiple short-range models from the National Weather Service and private forecasters converge on 77–78°F, reflecting limited radiative cooling under the current warm, humid airmass with no frontal passage expected. Historical September 9 averages near 70°F underscore how anomalous the current pattern remains. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 74–79°F captures residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing, urban heat-island effects at measurement sites, and minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing. Updated evening observations and next model runs will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Остине 9 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Остине 9 сентября?
74-75°F 35%
76-77°F 33%
78-79°F 28%
72-73°F 26%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 сент. 2026 г.
69°F или ниже
11%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
35%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
8%
88°F или выше
1%
74-75°F 35%
76-77°F 33%
78-79°F 28%
72-73°F 26%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 сент. 2026 г.
69°F или ниже
$48 Объем
11%
70-71°F
$153 Объем
8%
72-73°F
$0 Объем
26%
74-75°F
$0 Объем
35%
76-77°F
$0 Объем
33%
78-79°F
$0 Объем
28%
80-81°F
$0 Объем
24%
82-83°F
$12 Объем
8%
84-85°F
$50 Объем
2%
86-87°F
$72 Объем
8%
88°F или выше
$79 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent south winds near 5 mph, mostly clear skies, and elevated dew points near 70–75°F are sustaining overnight lows in the mid to upper 70s across Austin on September 9. Multiple short-range models from the National Weather Service and private forecasters converge on 77–78°F, reflecting limited radiative cooling under the current warm, humid airmass with no frontal passage expected. Historical September 9 averages near 70°F underscore how anomalous the current pattern remains. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 74–79°F captures residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing, urban heat-island effects at measurement sites, and minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing. Updated evening observations and next model runs will refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Объем
$414Дата окончания
9 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent south winds near 5 mph, mostly clear skies, and elevated dew points near 70–75°F are sustaining overnight lows in the mid to upper 70s across Austin on September 9. Multiple short-range models from the National Weather Service and private forecasters converge on 77–78°F, reflecting limited radiative cooling under the current warm, humid airmass with no frontal passage expected. Historical September 9 averages near 70°F underscore how anomalous the current pattern remains. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 74–79°F captures residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing, urban heat-island effects at measurement sites, and minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing. Updated evening observations and next model runs will refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$414Дата окончания
9 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Persistent south winds near 5 mph, mostly clear skies, and elevated dew points near 70–75°F are sustaining overnight lows in the mid to upper 70s across Austin on September 9. Multiple short-range models from the National Weather Service and private forecasters converge on 77–78°F, reflecting limited radiative cooling under the current warm, humid airmass with no frontal passage expected. Historical September 9 averages near 70°F underscore how anomalous the current pattern remains. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 74–79°F captures residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing, urban heat-island effects at measurement sites, and minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing. Updated evening observations and next model runs will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы