Thunderstorms and scattered heavy rain forecast for August 28 in Chengdu are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 25–27°C for the daily minimum. Official guidance from regional models points to cloud cover and precipitation that will limit nighttime radiative cooling while adding evaporative effects and higher humidity, typically trimming lows by 1–3°C compared with clear conditions. Recent model runs show minor divergence on exact timing and intensity of the storms, creating the tight spread between 25°C and 27°C outcomes. Historical August baselines for the Sichuan basin place typical minima near 24–26°C under similar moisture patterns, underscoring why traders see limited downside risk below 23°C absent a stronger cold-air intrusion. Updated forecasts ahead of the 28th will likely refine these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чэнду 28 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Чэнду 28 августа?
26°C 50%
25°C 42%
27°C 42%
24°C 41%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
28 авг. 2026 г.
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
39%
24°C
41%
25°C
42%
26°C
50%
27°C
42%
28°C
40%
29°C or higher
21%
26°C 50%
25°C 42%
27°C 42%
24°C 41%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
28 авг. 2026 г.
19°C or below
$133 Объем
1%
20°C
$60 Объем
1%
21°C
$85 Объем
2%
22°C
$27 Объем
2%
23°C
$0 Объем
39%
24°C
$0 Объем
41%
25°C
$0 Объем
42%
26°C
$0 Объем
50%
27°C
$0 Объем
42%
28°C
$0 Объем
40%
29°C or higher
$120 Объем
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Thunderstorms and scattered heavy rain forecast for August 28 in Chengdu are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 25–27°C for the daily minimum. Official guidance from regional models points to cloud cover and precipitation that will limit nighttime radiative cooling while adding evaporative effects and higher humidity, typically trimming lows by 1–3°C compared with clear conditions. Recent model runs show minor divergence on exact timing and intensity of the storms, creating the tight spread between 25°C and 27°C outcomes. Historical August baselines for the Sichuan basin place typical minima near 24–26°C under similar moisture patterns, underscoring why traders see limited downside risk below 23°C absent a stronger cold-air intrusion. Updated forecasts ahead of the 28th will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$426Дата окончания
28 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Thunderstorms and scattered heavy rain forecast for August 28 in Chengdu are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 25–27°C for the daily minimum. Official guidance from regional models points to cloud cover and precipitation that will limit nighttime radiative cooling while adding evaporative effects and higher humidity, typically trimming lows by 1–3°C compared with clear conditions. Recent model runs show minor divergence on exact timing and intensity of the storms, creating the tight spread between 25°C and 27°C outcomes. Historical August baselines for the Sichuan basin place typical minima near 24–26°C under similar moisture patterns, underscoring why traders see limited downside risk below 23°C absent a stronger cold-air intrusion. Updated forecasts ahead of the 28th will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$426Дата окончания
28 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Thunderstorms and scattered heavy rain forecast for August 28 in Chengdu are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 25–27°C for the daily minimum. Official guidance from regional models points to cloud cover and precipitation that will limit nighttime radiative cooling while adding evaporative effects and higher humidity, typically trimming lows by 1–3°C compared with clear conditions. Recent model runs show minor divergence on exact timing and intensity of the storms, creating the tight spread between 25°C and 27°C outcomes. Historical August baselines for the Sichuan basin place typical minima near 24–26°C under similar moisture patterns, underscoring why traders see limited downside risk below 23°C absent a stronger cold-air intrusion. Updated forecasts ahead of the 28th will likely refine these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы