**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daily minimum temperature in Chengdu on September 19 around 19–21°C under cloudy to overcast skies with light winds and high humidity.** This positioning stems from typical Sichuan Basin conditions in mid-September, where persistent cloud cover limits nighttime radiative cooling and keeps temperatures from dropping sharply, consistent with historical averages near 19°C but nudged higher by current model consensus. Recent data show stable atmospheric patterns with no incoming cold fronts or clear-sky events that would drive greater cooling, while ensemble forecasts from agencies emphasize minimal day-to-day variability. Trader sentiment, reflected in the market-implied probabilities peaking at 21°C (46.5%) followed by 22°C and 20°C, aggregates real-capital assessments of these model outputs and resolution criteria (official station minimum). Upcoming updates from regional weather services on the 19th itself could refine the final recorded value within the narrow 20–22°C band.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чэнду 19 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Чэнду 19 сентября?
21°C 47%
17°C 40%
18°C 40%
19°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
<1%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C
22%
21°C
47%
22°C
30%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C
40%
26°C или выше
<1%
21°C 47%
17°C 40%
18°C 40%
19°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$73 Объем
<1%
17°C
$0 Объем
40%
18°C
$0 Объем
40%
19°C
$0 Объем
40%
20°C
$15 Объем
22%
21°C
$48 Объем
47%
22°C
$548 Объем
30%
23°C
$0 Объем
40%
24°C
$0 Объем
40%
25°C
$100 Объем
40%
26°C или выше
$220 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daily minimum temperature in Chengdu on September 19 around 19–21°C under cloudy to overcast skies with light winds and high humidity.**
This positioning stems from typical Sichuan Basin conditions in mid-September, where persistent cloud cover limits nighttime radiative cooling and keeps temperatures from dropping sharply, consistent with historical averages near 19°C but nudged higher by current model consensus. Recent data show stable atmospheric patterns with no incoming cold fronts or clear-sky events that would drive greater cooling, while ensemble forecasts from agencies emphasize minimal day-to-day variability. Trader sentiment, reflected in the market-implied probabilities peaking at 21°C (46.5%) followed by 22°C and 20°C, aggregates real-capital assessments of these model outputs and resolution criteria (official station minimum). Upcoming updates from regional weather services on the 19th itself could refine the final recorded value within the narrow 20–22°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$1,004Дата окончания
19 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daily minimum temperature in Chengdu on September 19 around 19–21°C under cloudy to overcast skies with light winds and high humidity.**
This positioning stems from typical Sichuan Basin conditions in mid-September, where persistent cloud cover limits nighttime radiative cooling and keeps temperatures from dropping sharply, consistent with historical averages near 19°C but nudged higher by current model consensus. Recent data show stable atmospheric patterns with no incoming cold fronts or clear-sky events that would drive greater cooling, while ensemble forecasts from agencies emphasize minimal day-to-day variability. Trader sentiment, reflected in the market-implied probabilities peaking at 21°C (46.5%) followed by 22°C and 20°C, aggregates real-capital assessments of these model outputs and resolution criteria (official station minimum). Upcoming updates from regional weather services on the 19th itself could refine the final recorded value within the narrow 20–22°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,004Дата окончания
19 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daily minimum temperature in Chengdu on September 19 around 19–21°C under cloudy to overcast skies with light winds and high humidity.** This positioning stems from typical Sichuan Basin conditions in mid-September, where persistent cloud cover limits nighttime radiative cooling and keeps temperatures from dropping sharply, consistent with historical averages near 19°C but nudged higher by current model consensus. Recent data show stable atmospheric patterns with no incoming cold fronts or clear-sky events that would drive greater cooling, while ensemble forecasts from agencies emphasize minimal day-to-day variability. Trader sentiment, reflected in the market-implied probabilities peaking at 21°C (46.5%) followed by 22°C and 20°C, aggregates real-capital assessments of these model outputs and resolution criteria (official station minimum). Upcoming updates from regional weather services on the 19th itself could refine the final recorded value within the narrow 20–22°C band.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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