Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models (ECMWF, GFS) indicate an overnight low near 24°C in Chengdu on September 6, driven by partly cloudy to overcast skies, light southerly winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling after daytime highs of 31–34°C. Recent model consensus shows minimal change over the past 48 hours, with no strong cold-air intrusion expected before the period, keeping the temperature above typical mid-September baselines. Traders see nearly even odds for sub-20°C versus 30°C+ extremes because small shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter minimums by 2–3°C; updated CMA guidance and evening observations on September 5 will likely refine the range before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чэнду 6 сентября?
20°C или ниже 100%
21°C 49%
25°C 49%
26°C 49%
20°C или ниже
100%
21°C
49%
22°C
26%
23°C
28%
24°C
31%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
2%
30°C или выше
46%
20°C или ниже 100%
21°C 49%
25°C 49%
26°C 49%
20°C или ниже
100%
21°C
49%
22°C
26%
23°C
28%
24°C
31%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
2%
30°C или выше
46%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models (ECMWF, GFS) indicate an overnight low near 24°C in Chengdu on September 6, driven by partly cloudy to overcast skies, light southerly winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling after daytime highs of 31–34°C. Recent model consensus shows minimal change over the past 48 hours, with no strong cold-air intrusion expected before the period, keeping the temperature above typical mid-September baselines. Traders see nearly even odds for sub-20°C versus 30°C+ extremes because small shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter minimums by 2–3°C; updated CMA guidance and evening observations on September 5 will likely refine the range before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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