Recent observations and forecast models from agencies monitoring the region indicate Chongqing's overnight minimum on September 15 stabilized near 19–20°C amid persistent overcast skies, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered light rain that limited radiative cooling. Subtropical autumn conditions, including weak steering flow and residual moisture from earlier seasonal patterns, prevented sharper drops while keeping daytime highs in the low 20s. These factors align with the market's elevated implied probabilities for 20°C and 19°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of current data releases and model runs showing little deviation from this narrow range. Further updates from official meteorological briefings could refine resolution criteria based on exact station readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чунцине 15 сентября?
20°C 99%
17°C 20%
19°C 10%
16°C или ниже <1%
$1,965 Объем
$1,965 Объем
16°C или ниже
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C
Да
21°C
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Нет
26°C или выше
Нет
20°C 99%
17°C 20%
19°C 10%
16°C или ниже <1%
$1,965 Объем
$1,965 Объем
16°C или ниже
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C
Да
21°C
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Нет
26°C или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Recent observations and forecast models from agencies monitoring the region indicate Chongqing's overnight minimum on September 15 stabilized near 19–20°C amid persistent overcast skies, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered light rain that limited radiative cooling. Subtropical autumn conditions, including weak steering flow and residual moisture from earlier seasonal patterns, prevented sharper drops while keeping daytime highs in the low 20s. These factors align with the market's elevated implied probabilities for 20°C and 19°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of current data releases and model runs showing little deviation from this narrow range. Further updates from official meteorological briefings could refine resolution criteria based on exact station readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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