Recent weather model consensus and official forecasts position a 26°C minimum as the dominant outcome for Guangzhou on September 21, driven by persistent subtropical warmth, high humidity near 80%, and limited overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. Current observations show temperatures holding above 27°C into the evening, aligning with seasonal September averages adjusted upward by ongoing warm advection. Historical data indicate typical lows near 24°C, yet this year's atmospheric pattern lacks strong cooling influences, keeping probabilities for 25°C or lower below 40% combined. Final hourly readings from local stations will determine exact resolution as the day closes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 21 сентября?
26°C 99%
24°C 20%
20°C или ниже 19%
21°C 1.0%
$496 Объем
$496 Объем
20°C или ниже
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Нет
26°C
Да
27°C
Нет
28°C
Нет
29°C
Нет
30°C или выше
Нет
26°C 99%
24°C 20%
20°C или ниже 19%
21°C 1.0%
$496 Объем
$496 Объем
20°C или ниже
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Нет
26°C
Да
27°C
Нет
28°C
Нет
29°C
Нет
30°C или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Recent weather model consensus and official forecasts position a 26°C minimum as the dominant outcome for Guangzhou on September 21, driven by persistent subtropical warmth, high humidity near 80%, and limited overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. Current observations show temperatures holding above 27°C into the evening, aligning with seasonal September averages adjusted upward by ongoing warm advection. Historical data indicate typical lows near 24°C, yet this year's atmospheric pattern lacks strong cooling influences, keeping probabilities for 25°C or lower below 40% combined. Final hourly readings from local stations will determine exact resolution as the day closes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы