**Current forecasts from multiple models (including FMI, ECMWF, and GFS runs) show Helsinki overnight lows on September 6 centering around 6–10°C, with daytime highs near 15–17°C, consistent with early-September climatology where the long-term average low is ~10.8°C.** Trader sentiment remains diffuse because small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and radiative cooling can shift the exact minimum by several degrees: clear, calm conditions promote stronger nocturnal cooling toward the lower outcomes (7–9°C cluster at ~25–26% each), while increased winds or residual cloudiness from approaching fronts limit drops and support the leading 14°C-or-higher bin (34.5%). Sea-surface temperatures in the nearby Baltic provide a moderating influence, and model spread on the strength of any high-pressure ridge or weak front crossing the region keeps probabilities balanced across the 4–14°C range rather than converging on a single value. Resolution hinges on the official Finnish Meteorological Institute minimum recorded at the Helsinki Kaisaniemi station; updated model guidance and the next 48-hour forecast cycle will be the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Хельсинки 6 сентября?
14°C или выше 69%
4°C или ниже 49%
10°C 49%
12°C 49%
4°C или ниже
49%
5°C
22%
6°C
24%
7°C
25%
8°C
26%
9°C
26%
10°C
49%
11°C
2%
12°C
49%
13°C
49%
14°C или выше
69%
14°C или выше 69%
4°C или ниже 49%
10°C 49%
12°C 49%
4°C или ниже
49%
5°C
22%
6°C
24%
7°C
25%
8°C
26%
9°C
26%
10°C
49%
11°C
2%
12°C
49%
13°C
49%
14°C или выше
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple models (including FMI, ECMWF, and GFS runs) show Helsinki overnight lows on September 6 centering around 6–10°C, with daytime highs near 15–17°C, consistent with early-September climatology where the long-term average low is ~10.8°C.** Trader sentiment remains diffuse because small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and radiative cooling can shift the exact minimum by several degrees: clear, calm conditions promote stronger nocturnal cooling toward the lower outcomes (7–9°C cluster at ~25–26% each), while increased winds or residual cloudiness from approaching fronts limit drops and support the leading 14°C-or-higher bin (34.5%). Sea-surface temperatures in the nearby Baltic provide a moderating influence, and model spread on the strength of any high-pressure ridge or weak front crossing the region keeps probabilities balanced across the 4–14°C range rather than converging on a single value. Resolution hinges on the official Finnish Meteorological Institute minimum recorded at the Helsinki Kaisaniemi station; updated model guidance and the next 48-hour forecast cycle will be the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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