**Stable subtropical summer conditions have locked in a 26°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 15.** August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 26–28°C under high humidity and light winds, with official Hong Kong Observatory data and model guidance confirming this range amid light rain and showers. No cold fronts, typhoons, or significant advection are present to drive further cooling, aligning trader consensus with observed and forecast values from sources like the Observatory and regional models. While measurement revisions or localized urban heat effects could theoretically shift the exact reading by 1°C, current atmospheric stability makes deviations to 25°C or 27°C+ unlikely before midnight resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 15 августа?
26°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
22°C или ниже <1%
23°C <1%
$44,290 Объем
$44,290 Объем
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
26°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
22°C или ниже <1%
23°C <1%
$44,290 Объем
$44,290 Объем
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Stable subtropical summer conditions have locked in a 26°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 15.** August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 26–28°C under high humidity and light winds, with official Hong Kong Observatory data and model guidance confirming this range amid light rain and showers. No cold fronts, typhoons, or significant advection are present to drive further cooling, aligning trader consensus with observed and forecast values from sources like the Observatory and regional models. While measurement revisions or localized urban heat effects could theoretically shift the exact reading by 1°C, current atmospheric stability makes deviations to 25°C or 27°C+ unlikely before midnight resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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