**Current forecasts from multiple sources, including WeatherBug, Globalmeteo, Met Office, and others, point to a minimum temperature in Karachi on September 19, 2026, of roughly 26–28°C (79–82°F), aligning closely with the market's leading 27°C outcome at 52% implied probability.** This range reflects typical late-monsoon conditions for the coastal city: moderate sea-surface temperatures in the Arabian Sea, light to moderate westerly to southwesterly winds (8–12 mph), high overnight humidity (70–90%), and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Official and ensemble model guidance (GFS-based) shows the overnight low occurring around 5–7 a.m. local time, with minimal day-to-day variability and no incoming weather systems to drive sharper drops or spikes. The tight clustering around 27°C and the non-negligible odds on 22°C or below (46%) versus 32°C or higher (46%) illustrate genuine forecast uncertainty in the tails—arising from small differences in boundary-layer moisture, local urban heat-island effects, or model resolution of the sea breeze—rather than a shift in the central expectation. Historical September minima average near 26–27°C, providing additional context that traders appear to be weighting alongside the latest model consensus. No major updates or deviations have appeared in the most recent runs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Карачи 19 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Карачи 19 сентября?
22°C или ниже 92%
32°C или выше 92%
27°C 52%
28°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 сент. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
92%
23°C
9%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
21%
27°C
52%
28°C
40%
29°C
8%
30°C
16%
31°C
9%
32°C или выше
92%
22°C или ниже 92%
32°C или выше 92%
27°C 52%
28°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 сент. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
$0 Объем
92%
23°C
$0 Объем
9%
24°C
$0 Объем
39%
25°C
$0 Объем
39%
26°C
$0 Объем
21%
27°C
$26 Объем
52%
28°C
$0 Объем
40%
29°C
$0 Объем
8%
30°C
$0 Объем
16%
31°C
$0 Объем
9%
32°C или выше
$0 Объем
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple sources, including WeatherBug, Globalmeteo, Met Office, and others, point to a minimum temperature in Karachi on September 19, 2026, of roughly 26–28°C (79–82°F), aligning closely with the market's leading 27°C outcome at 52% implied probability.**
This range reflects typical late-monsoon conditions for the coastal city: moderate sea-surface temperatures in the Arabian Sea, light to moderate westerly to southwesterly winds (8–12 mph), high overnight humidity (70–90%), and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Official and ensemble model guidance (GFS-based) shows the overnight low occurring around 5–7 a.m. local time, with minimal day-to-day variability and no incoming weather systems to drive sharper drops or spikes.
The tight clustering around 27°C and the non-negligible odds on 22°C or below (46%) versus 32°C or higher (46%) illustrate genuine forecast uncertainty in the tails—arising from small differences in boundary-layer moisture, local urban heat-island effects, or model resolution of the sea breeze—rather than a shift in the central expectation. Historical September minima average near 26–27°C, providing additional context that traders appear to be weighting alongside the latest model consensus. No major updates or deviations have appeared in the most recent runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Объем
$26Дата окончания
19 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 12:32 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple sources, including WeatherBug, Globalmeteo, Met Office, and others, point to a minimum temperature in Karachi on September 19, 2026, of roughly 26–28°C (79–82°F), aligning closely with the market's leading 27°C outcome at 52% implied probability.**
This range reflects typical late-monsoon conditions for the coastal city: moderate sea-surface temperatures in the Arabian Sea, light to moderate westerly to southwesterly winds (8–12 mph), high overnight humidity (70–90%), and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Official and ensemble model guidance (GFS-based) shows the overnight low occurring around 5–7 a.m. local time, with minimal day-to-day variability and no incoming weather systems to drive sharper drops or spikes.
The tight clustering around 27°C and the non-negligible odds on 22°C or below (46%) versus 32°C or higher (46%) illustrate genuine forecast uncertainty in the tails—arising from small differences in boundary-layer moisture, local urban heat-island effects, or model resolution of the sea breeze—rather than a shift in the central expectation. Historical September minima average near 26–27°C, providing additional context that traders appear to be weighting alongside the latest model consensus. No major updates or deviations have appeared in the most recent runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$26Дата окончания
19 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 12:32 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple sources, including WeatherBug, Globalmeteo, Met Office, and others, point to a minimum temperature in Karachi on September 19, 2026, of roughly 26–28°C (79–82°F), aligning closely with the market's leading 27°C outcome at 52% implied probability.** This range reflects typical late-monsoon conditions for the coastal city: moderate sea-surface temperatures in the Arabian Sea, light to moderate westerly to southwesterly winds (8–12 mph), high overnight humidity (70–90%), and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Official and ensemble model guidance (GFS-based) shows the overnight low occurring around 5–7 a.m. local time, with minimal day-to-day variability and no incoming weather systems to drive sharper drops or spikes. The tight clustering around 27°C and the non-negligible odds on 22°C or below (46%) versus 32°C or higher (46%) illustrate genuine forecast uncertainty in the tails—arising from small differences in boundary-layer moisture, local urban heat-island effects, or model resolution of the sea breeze—rather than a shift in the central expectation. Historical September minima average near 26–27°C, providing additional context that traders appear to be weighting alongside the latest model consensus. No major updates or deviations have appeared in the most recent runs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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