**Official India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow on September 11 indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C, with generally cloudy skies transitioning to partly cloudy conditions and possible thundery development.** This outlook aligns with recent observations showing overnight lows of 26–28°C amid high humidity and monsoon-related cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Model consensus across sources points to minimal day-to-day variability in the near term, though steering patterns and localized thunderstorm activity could introduce small shifts in the exact recorded low at the primary reporting station. With market-implied odds split evenly between sub-22°C and 32°C+ extremes despite the narrower official range, trader sentiment appears driven by uncertainty over resolution criteria, potential forecast revisions from updated IMD runs, or station-specific measurements rather than broad climatological shifts. Historical September minima in the region typically fall in the mid-20s°C under similar conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лакхнау 11 сентября?
32°C или выше 87%
22°C или ниже 86%
26°C 44%
24°C 37%
22°C или ниже
86%
23°C
12%
24°C
37%
25°C
20%
26°C
25%
27°C
23%
28°C
37%
29°C
30%
30°C
37%
31°C
6%
32°C или выше
87%
32°C или выше 87%
22°C или ниже 86%
26°C 44%
24°C 37%
22°C или ниже
86%
23°C
12%
24°C
37%
25°C
20%
26°C
25%
27°C
23%
28°C
37%
29°C
30%
30°C
37%
31°C
6%
32°C или выше
87%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Official India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow on September 11 indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C, with generally cloudy skies transitioning to partly cloudy conditions and possible thundery development.** This outlook aligns with recent observations showing overnight lows of 26–28°C amid high humidity and monsoon-related cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Model consensus across sources points to minimal day-to-day variability in the near term, though steering patterns and localized thunderstorm activity could introduce small shifts in the exact recorded low at the primary reporting station. With market-implied odds split evenly between sub-22°C and 32°C+ extremes despite the narrower official range, trader sentiment appears driven by uncertainty over resolution criteria, potential forecast revisions from updated IMD runs, or station-specific measurements rather than broad climatological shifts. Historical September minima in the region typically fall in the mid-20s°C under similar conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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