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icon for Самая низкая температура в Маниле 2 сентября?

Самая низкая температура в Маниле 2 сентября?

icon for Самая низкая температура в Маниле 2 сентября?

Самая низкая температура в Маниле 2 сентября?

авг. 31

сент. 1

сент. 2

авг. 31

сент. 1

сент. 2

25°C 31%

26°C 28%

27°C 28%

28°C 26%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

25°C 31%

26°C 28%

27°C 28%

28°C 26%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

21°C или ниже

$5 Объем

5%

22°C

$5 Объем

5%

23°C

$6 Объем

6%

24°C

$0 Объем

11%

25°C

$0 Объем

31%

26°C

$0 Объем

28%

27°C

$0 Объем

28%

28°C

$0 Объем

26%

29°C

$1 Объем

25%

30°C

$5 Объем

20%

31°C или выше

$5 Объем

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon conditions and widespread cloud cover over Metro Manila are the main drivers keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered between 25–28 °C for the lowest temperature on September 2. Persistent humidity near 80–90 % and frequent showers limit nighttime radiative cooling, narrowing the diurnal temperature range typical of the peak rainy season. Official PAGASA analyses highlight scattered thunderstorms and monsoon-enhanced moisture that historically hold overnight minima near or slightly above the 24–26 °C climatological baseline. Short-range model spread on exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity explains why no single outcome exceeds 31 % probability, with traders weighting the latest guidance on steering flow and convective activity ahead of the next forecast updates.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$27
Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon conditions and widespread cloud cover over Metro Manila are the main drivers keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered between 25–28 °C for the lowest temperature on September 2. Persistent humidity near 80–90 % and frequent showers limit nighttime radiative cooling, narrowing the diurnal temperature range typical of the peak rainy season. Official PAGASA analyses highlight scattered thunderstorms and monsoon-enhanced moisture that historically hold overnight minima near or slightly above the 24–26 °C climatological baseline. Short-range model spread on exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity explains why no single outcome exceeds 31 % probability, with traders weighting the latest guidance on steering flow and convective activity ahead of the next forecast updates.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$27
Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Связанные

icon for Will the lowest temperature in Manila be 22°C or below on September 1?

Will the lowest temperature in Manila be 22°C or below on September 1?

35%
icon for Будет ли максимальная температура в Маниле 31°C 2 сентября?

Будет ли максимальная температура в Маниле 31°C 2 сентября?

36%
Да
icon for Будет ли максимальная температура в Маниле 32°C 1 сентября?

Будет ли максимальная температура в Маниле 32°C 1 сентября?

47%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая низкая температура в Маниле 2 сентября?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «25°C» с 31%, за ним следует «26°C» с 28%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 31¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 31%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая низкая температура в Маниле 2 сентября?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 31, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая низкая температура в Маниле 2 сентября?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая низкая температура в Маниле 2 сентября?» — «25°C» с 31%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 31%. Следующий ближайший исход — «26°C» с 28%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая низкая температура в Маниле 2 сентября?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.